POLITICS
Shifting Tides: The Transforming Landscape of Iran’s Foreign Policy
Published
2 years agoon
By
Editor
By Aimen Jamil
Iran’s foreign policy has changed significantly in recent years, reflecting both domestic issues and changing geopolitical factors. The Islamic Republic of Iran, which has a long history of revolution and anti-Western sentiment, has been steadily reevaluating the goals of its foreign policy in an effort to keep up with changing local and global conditions. The rise of the United States as an adversary has forced Iran to rethink its foreign policy. The country is now seeking to diversify its relationships and reduce its reliance on the United States. Iran has been reaching out to China, Russia, and other countries in an effort to build new partnerships.
Ebrahim Raisi came to power in June 2021. Raisi presidency will have significant repercussions on Iran’s international relations. Additionally, it will affect the Middle East’s political and strategic landscape in addition to other regions. His foreign policy is mostly focused on strengthening connections with his neighbours and developing relations with the Asian powers (China and Russia).
Raisi’s pick of Hossein Amir-Abdollahian as foreign minister represented his objectives. The career diplomat speaks Arabic in addition to English and has substantial experience in nations with a majority of Arab people. In 1997, Amir-Abdollahian was originally sent to the Iranian embassy in Baghdad. Later, he served as the director of an Iraq-specific division at the foreign ministry. From 2007 to 2010, Amir-Abdollahian served as Bahrain’s ambassador. From 2011 to 2016, he was the deputy foreign minister for Arab and African relations.
Iran’s Pivot to Asia
Raisi’s shift towards Asia was a key element of its foreign policy plan. This shift in emphasis towards Asian nations, especially China, India, and Russia, sought to broaden Iran’s foreign relationships, bolster economic links, and boost diplomatic support in the face of geopolitical obstacles and international sanctions.
China-Iran
The 25-year comprehensive strategic agreement between Iran and China that was inked in March 2021 was one of the most prominent elements of Iran’s pivot to Asia. The agreement encompassed a range of cooperative initiatives, including those pertaining to economic, political, and security issues. Increased Chinese investments in Iran’s manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure sectors, as well as defense and intelligence collaboration, were significant elements of the agreement. This alliance is considered by Iran as a strategy to lessen the effects of international sanctions, particularly those imposed by the United States following its exit from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018. Iran sought to lessen its economic reliance on Western nations by forging closer connections with China in order to obtain access to a sizable market for its oil and other commodities.
Russia-Iran
The bilateral relationship between Iran and Russia is intricate and multifaceted. On numerous regional and international issues, both nations have a history of cooperation and partnership. Their bond has become stronger in recent years, notably in relation to collaboration in the political, military, and energy sectors. Russia has been a significant economic partner for Iran, especially in the energy sector where it has contributed capital, know-how, and support to the growth of Iran’s oil and gas reserves. Russia has moreover been Iran’s most important diplomatically, supporting it in forums around the world and representing its interests. Additionally, the two nations have worked closely together on regional matters, such as the Syrian Civil War, where they backed the Syrian government. While mutual interests serve as the foundation of their relationship, geopolitical factors and local dynamics also play a role. Overall, the bilateral relations between Iran and Russia continue to be characterized by a combination of collaboration, shared interests, and sporadic disagreements.
India-Iran
Historically, culturally, and economically connected, Iran and India have a long-standing and complex bilateral connection. Despite the difficulties caused by international sanctions on Iran, both nations have maintained strong coordination in a number of areas. With India being one of the biggest importers of Iranian oil, energy has been a significant component of their relationship. The strategic construction of Iran’s Chabahar port has also been an important undertaking for India because it provides a crucial sea route that avoids Pakistan to Afghanistan and Central Asia. Iran and India have cooperated on issues relating to regional security in addition to their shared economic interests. They have previously worked together to foster peace and development in the country that has been ripped apart by war. They both have concerns about the stability of Afghanistan. Further strengthening their connections, both nations have worked to encourage intercultural and interpersonal exchanges. Iran and India’s bilateral relationship continues to be a crucial part of both foreign strategies, fostering regional connectivity and cooperation in South and Central Asia.
The necessity to diversify its economic alliances was one of the factors that prompted Iran to turn to Asia. Iran wanted to lessen its reliance on Western markets and strengthen its ability to withstand international sanctions, thus it tried to deepen its ties with Asian nations. The economies of Asia provided Iran with chances for trade, investment, and technological cooperation. Iran attempted to secure diplomatic assistance from nations other than its customary Western-centric alliances by shifting its focus to Asia. In forums and regional disputes when Iran ran afoul of Western powers, this backing may be crucial.
Iran Joins Shanghai Cooperation Organization
Iran formally joined the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) on July 4, 2023. The SCO is a regional intergovernmental organization that encourages cooperation among its members in the areas of politics, economy, and security. The admission of Iran to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is a significant move since it will enable Iran to participate more actively in regional affairs and to take advantage of the organization’s opportunities for economic and security cooperation.
China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan created the SCO in 2001. Since then, the group has grown to encompass Pakistan and India, making it the biggest regional security alliance in the world. The main objectives of the SCO are to foster economic cooperation, fight terrorism, and promote security and stability within its member states. The participants in the SCO have praised Iran’s admission. Iran’s membership has received strong backing from China and Russia in particular, who see it as a chance to further their ties with Iran and counteract American dominance in the region.
Normalizing Relations with the Regional Countries
Saudi-Iran Rapprochement
One of the major diplomatic wins for Iran was its normalizing of relations with Saudi Arabia, a rapprochement brokered by China on March 10, 2023. In 2016, diplomatic ties between Iran and Saudi Arabia were broken after the latter country executed Shia preacher Nimr Al-Nimr, which infuriated Iranians and led to demonstrations. This most recent development is viewed as a move in the right direction towards lowering long-standing tensions and advancing towards peaceful conflict settlement in the Middle East. The Saudi-Iranian reconciliation has a lot of reasons. First, both nations are dealing with issues like the resurgence of ISIS and the unrest in Yemen. Second, they are both concerned about the United States, Iran’s main adversary, and its expanding influence. Third, in order to concentrate on economic development, they both recognize the necessity to lower tensions in the region. The two countries are also taking initial measures for oil cooperation, according to Iranian deputy oil minister. However, both the countries are biding to the deal, Iran has opened her embassy in Riyadh and soon Saudi Arabia will also open her embassy in Tehran.
To diversify its economic prospects and to reduce regional tensions Iran has been making visits to its neighbors, the efforts have increased after Saudi-Iran reconciliation. Iranian President visited Syria and have signed agreements to cooperate in socio-political areas, Iran is also having political and economic consultations with Iraq. Iran also expanded its relations with Pakistan, the leaders of both sides inaugurated the Mand-Pishin joint border market and have started the barter trade. Iranian leaders also visited Indonesia, Uzbekistan, UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and Latin American States. Different areas of cooperation have been explored by Iran with these states.
Iran’s foreign policy has changed significantly over the years, with a focus on Asia emerging as a key element. Iran aims to take a strategic position in the ever-evolving international scene by expanding its diplomatic and economic engagements, fortifying regional ties, and addressing the difficulties brought on by international sanctions. Iran’s foreign policy is anticipated to continue adapting and changing in order to further its domestic objectives and regional goals as geopolitical forces change.
Aimen Jamil’s intellectual curiosity lies at the intersection of Middle East and Pakistan Foreign Policy. She majors in International Relations.
Courtesy: Modern Diplomacy
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POLITICS
Israel’s Expansion in Gaza: A Turning Point in the Conflict and the Future of Palestinian Territory
Published
3 months agoon
April 16, 2025By
Editor
Baba Yunus Muhammad
In an alarming escalation, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz has announced the “capture of large areas” of the Gaza Strip to be permanently integrated into Israeli “security zones.” This declaration, made on April 15, 2025, signals a dangerous and irreversible shift in the decades-long Israeli occupation: the transition from occupation to de facto annexation.
Israeli airstrikes continue to pummel Khan Younis and Rafah, killing dozens, including women, children, and the elderly. Gaza’s Health Ministry reports over 900 people killed in recent days alone — many of them children. The cumulative death toll now exceeds 50,000, with more than 110,000 injured, many maimed for life. The majority are civilians.
In the most chilling development this week, a mass grave was uncovered in Khan Younis containing the bodies of 15 Palestinian rescue workers — bound, shot, and buried. These were not combatants, but medics and volunteers. The execution-style killings speak to a deepening moral crisis that now grips the conflict.
Strategic Expansion: Occupation Masquerading as Security
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has recently confirmed Israel’s intentions to create a “second Philadelphi corridor,” effectively carving Gaza into disconnected territories. This would further divide and control the population, while seizing critical border areas along the Egypt-Gaza frontier.
Human rights organizations, including Israel’s own Gisha, warn that Israel has already seized 62 square kilometers of Gaza — nearly one-fifth of the territory — under the guise of “buffer zones.” These so-called zones increasingly resemble permanent annexations. What began as a war is morphing into a land grab, executed under the fog of military necessity.
As one analyst told The Islamic Economist: “This is not just about dismantling Hamas. It is about redrawing the map of Gaza, erasing Palestinian sovereignty, and engineering a demographic reality where Palestinians are forced to leave or live under siege indefinitely.”
Trump Administration and the Shift in American Policy
Under the current Trump administration, Israel enjoys unprecedented diplomatic latitude. Former President Biden opposed any moves to reoccupy Gaza or expel its residents, insisting on a political solution. President Trump, however, has openly spoken of Gaza as a potential “Riviera” and suggested relocating Palestinians to Egypt or Jordan — ideas widely condemned as ethnic cleansing.
Simultaneously, the Israeli government has quietly launched a bureau for the “voluntary transfer” of Gaza’s population. But with Gaza reduced to rubble, its hospitals shut down, bakeries burned, and humanitarian aid blocked, what appears voluntary on paper is, in reality, coerced displacement.
The UN and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) have warned that such transfers violate international law, potentially amounting to war crimes. But with a muted response from key Western capitals, including Washington, the machinery of occupation continues unabated.
Deliberate Starvation as a Tool of War
Since January, Israel has imposed a near-total siege on Gaza. Water systems have been destroyed. Fuel is forbidden. Wheat reserves have run out. The United Nations World Food Programme says all bakeries are now closed. Only a few humanitarian kitchens remain — and they too are on the verge of collapse.
The result: Gaza is now facing famine. Children are dying from dehydration and starvation, not just bombs. Diseases are spreading through overcrowded shelters and makeshift camps. The siege is not a byproduct of war — it is the strategy itself.
By making Gaza uninhabitable, Israel appears to be pressuring its civilian population to flee. As history has shown — from the Nakba in 1948 to today — displacement is not a side effect. It is the plan.
Hostages and the Politics of Delay
Israel continues to justify its campaign by citing the 59 hostages held by Hamas since the October 2023 attack, which killed 1,200 Israelis. But as families of the hostages grow increasingly vocal, many accuse the government of sacrificing their loved ones for political and territorial gains.
Polls show that the Israeli public now favors a ceasefire deal that brings the hostages home, even if it means withdrawing from Gaza. But the Netanyahu government — emboldened by far-right coalition partners and a sympathetic White House — refuses to halt the offensive.
Hamas, meanwhile, demands a permanent ceasefire and the right to remain in power. Israel insists on total military victory and Hamas’s destruction. The resulting deadlock is costing lives — every day.
A Moment of Reckoning for the Muslim World
The silence from many Muslim capitals is deafening. While some countries have condemned the atrocities, few have taken tangible steps — whether diplomatic, legal, or economic — to halt the carnage. The Ummah watches in horror, but action remains limited.
Yet this is not just a Palestinian issue. It is a moral and existential test for the Islamic world. Gaza is not just being destroyed — it is being erased. If this moment passes without consequence, the precedent will be set: that under the right geopolitical conditions, a people can be displaced, their land seized, and their history rewritten — with impunity.
The Muslim world must ask: what kind of future are we building, if the soil of the Holy Land can be soaked in blood and the world simply watches?
Conclusion: Toward Justice, Not Just Ceasefire
This is not just a war. It is a transformation of Gaza’s geography, identity, and people. The Palestinian struggle is no longer about borders — it is about survival.
The Islamic world, together with all people of conscience, must raise its voice against this unfolding injustice. Ceasefire is no longer enough. What is needed is an international movement — legal, economic, political, and moral — to end the occupation, prevent annexation, and restore dignity and self-determination to the Palestinian people.
Gaza may be small in landmass. But in the story of justice, it has become a vast battlefield for the soul of humanity.
POLITICS
The Battle for Khartoum: Tracking Sudan’s War over Two Years
Published
3 months agoon
April 2, 2025By
Editor
After nearly two years of brutal fighting, Sudan’s civil war is at a critical juncture: the Sudanese Armed Forces announced it has regained control of the capital Khartoum from its rivals, the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. It’s yet to be seen if this signals a break in the war or is simply another phase in the fighting. In this article, Kagure Gacheche tracks the conflict since it began in 2023.
Sudan has been engulfed in brutal conflict since 15 April 2023, when tensions between the country’s two most powerful military factions erupted into civil war.
The conflict stems from a long-standing power struggle over military control and integration. Fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces began in the capital, Khartoum, and quickly spread across the country. International efforts to broker peace since have largely failed.
The conflict, which has been going on for two years now, has created one of the world’s worst humanitarian emergencies. An estimated 30 million Sudanese civilians are in need of aid. Brutal attacks, looting and destruction of infrastructure have become commonplace. Millions of people lack access to essential medical care. Food shortages and economic collapse have worsened the suffering. The war has also triggered a massive displacement crisis, with more than 14 million people forced to flee their homes. Many have sought refuge in neighbouring countries, while others remain trapped in dangerous conditions within Sudan.
As the conflict drags on, the toll on Sudan’s people continues to grow. Estimates of those killed vary widely, from 20,000 to 62,000, but the actual figure could be much larger. With no clear resolution in sight, Sudan’s crisis is one of the most urgent and devastating conflicts in the world. At The Conversation Africa, we have worked with academics who have tracked the conflict since 2023.
Weapons flow
Early on, it was clear that both the Sudanese army and the paramilitary force had a sufficient supply of weapons to sustain a protracted conflict. The country was already awash with firearms. It is ranked second – after Egypt – among its regional neighbours in total firearms estimates. Khristopher Carlson, part of a research project tracking small arms and armed violence in Sudan, noted that the two Sudanese forces might have different fighting methods but were adequately equipped to trade fire. The army’s superiority was its air force and heavy arsenal on the ground. The paramilitary force relied on nimble mobile units equipped primarily with small and light weapons.
External interference
This proliferation of weapons has been compounded by financial and military support from external states. Various foreign players – Chad, Egypt, Iran, Libya, Qatar and Russia – have picked a side to support. However, the influence of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates has been particularly problematic. Political scientist Federico Donelli explained that the two nations viewed Sudan as a key nation because of its location. Following President Omar al-Bashir’s ouster in 2019, the two monarchies bet on different factions within Sudan’s security apparatus. This external support exacerbated internal competition. Riyadh maintained close ties with army leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. Abu Dhabi aligned itself with the head of the Rapid Support Forces, Mohamed Dagalo, or Hemedti.
Regional dynamics
The support from international players in Sudan’s war has had a damaging effect on regional dynamics. The Sudanese army recently accused the United Arab Emirates of supplying the Rapid Support Forces with weapons through Chad. At a ceremony for an officer killed in a drone strike carried out by paramilitary forces, a senior army official said Chad’s airports would be “legitimate targets” should retaliatory action become necessary. This heightened the risk of a spillover of the Sudanese conflict. Sudan shares borders with seven countries in an unstable region, including Chad, South Sudan, Eritrea and Ethiopia. Economics professor and legal expert John Mukum Mbaku warned that a spillover of the fighting could devastate the region economically, socially and politically.
Protecting civilians
The conflict has put millions of civilians in Sudan in the crossfire. A UN report in September 2024 called for an independent force to protect civilians; Sudan’s officials rejected the proposal. However, peace talks have yet to achieve a lasting ceasefire. Sudan had a peacekeeping force between 2007 and 2020, followed by a UN-led political mission that exited in February 2024. Since then, there has been no security presence in Sudan responsible for protecting civilians. Peacekeeping researcher Jenna Russo noted the need for a regional or international peace force that could create “green zones”. This would help protect areas where displaced persons were sheltering and facilitate humanitarian aid.
What’s been missing?
High-level peace talks brokered by the African Union and the UN to negotiate a ceasefire have largely been unsuccessful, putting civilians at constant risk. Talks held in Switzerland and Jeddah have had little impact. Philipp Kastner, a peace scholar, highlighted that the countries hosting or supporting these talks were pursuing competing interests in Sudan, which affected their impartiality. Progress to negotiate an end to the war would be unlikely if external military support to the warring parties continued unabated. Civilians would continue to pay the price.
Kagure Gacheche is the commissioning Editor, East Africa.
Courtesy: The Conservation
POLITICS
Russia-Ukraine War: A Delicate Pause Amid Geopolitical Maneuvering
Published
4 months agoon
March 20, 2025By
Editor
B.Y. Muhammad
In a surprising development, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has agreed to a mutual pause in attacks on energy infrastructure with Russia for 30 days, marking a potential step toward a broader cease-fire. The agreement, facilitated through a phone conversation with former U.S. President Donald Trump, underscores the shifting dynamics of international involvement in the ongoing conflict.
The Cease-Fire Agreement: Tactical or Strategic?
While the 30-day truce is being framed as a diplomatic breakthrough, there are indications that the Kremlin has not deviated from its broader objectives in Ukraine. Russia’s agreement to pause strikes on energy infrastructure, participate in prisoner exchanges, and discuss security in the Black Sea has been presented as a concession. However, these elements align with longstanding Russian interests, making it unclear whether the Kremlin has genuinely altered its stance or is simply buying time.
Zelensky, while agreeing to the deal, expressed skepticism regarding Russia’s commitment, emphasizing the need for U.S. monitoring. “Just the assertion and the word of Putin that he will not strike energy sites is too little,” he remarked, underscoring the deep mistrust between Kyiv and Moscow.
Russian Strategy and Western Concerns
Western analysts argue that the Kremlin’s approach remains fundamentally unchanged. Putin’s overarching demand—a complete cessation of foreign military and intelligence support for Ukraine—would, if met, leave Kyiv vulnerable to Russian dominance. While Trump denied discussing aid with Putin, the Kremlin’s statement suggested otherwise, raising questions about the true nature of their discussions.
This development has heightened fears that Moscow is merely playing for time, anticipating that the U.S. may eventually disengage from Ukraine. The timing of this cease-fire agreement, coupled with Russia’s battlefield momentum and growing Western fatigue, suggests that Moscow might be maneuvering for a strategic advantage rather than pursuing genuine peace.
U.S. and Russian Diplomatic Calculations
Trump’s involvement in the negotiations signals a potential shift in U.S. policy. The former president has historically expressed skepticism toward Ukraine’s strategic importance, and his willingness to engage with Putin could indicate a broader recalibration of Washington’s stance. Russia, in turn, appears eager to leverage this opportunity to normalize relations with the U.S. without making significant concessions on Ukraine.
Moscow has already floated the prospect of economic cooperation with American firms, particularly in the rare earth metals and energy sectors. Additionally, discussions have included cultural engagements, such as a proposed U.S.-Russia hockey tournament—seemingly trivial, yet indicative of Russia’s broader attempt to reframe its relationship with Washington beyond the Ukraine conflict.
Implications for Ukraine and the Global Order
For Ukraine, the stakes remain high. While a temporary cessation of hostilities on energy infrastructure provides some relief, the country remains in a precarious position. The prospect of losing its principal backer, the U.S., could force Kyiv into unfavorable compromises that undermine its sovereignty.
For the broader international community, the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to reflect a contest not only between two nations but between geopolitical blocs vying for influence. Russia seeks to restore its sphere of control, while the West struggles to maintain a unified front in supporting Ukraine. Meanwhile, the Islamic world, with its historical ties to both Russia and Ukraine, watches closely, balancing economic interests and diplomatic relations in a rapidly evolving global landscape.
While the 30-day cease-fire offers a temporary reprieve, it is far from a definitive step toward peace. The agreement highlights the ongoing complexities of diplomacy in wartime, the strategic calculations of global powers, and the uncertain future of Ukraine’s sovereignty. As negotiations continue, the world waits to see whether this pause will serve as a bridge to lasting peace or merely as a tactical interlude in a protracted conflict.

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