POLITICS
Ibrahim Raisi at Peking University: China, and its Impact on Tehran’s Accession to the BRICS
Published
2 years agoon
By
Editor
By Dr.Nadia Helmy
The significance of the tenth foreign visit of Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi to China comes in less than a year and a half of the life of his government and his speech at Peking University. This is the first visit of an Iranian president to China since 2018, and it comes at a time when both countries are facing internal and external challenges and pressures. Raisi’s visit to China is the first foreign visit by the President (Ayatollah Sayyid Ibrahim Raisi), during the year and a half of his assumption of the presidency. His visit to the capital, Beijing, lasted three days, in response to an official invitation from his Chinese counterpart “Xi Jinping”. Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi had met his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, on his eighth foreign visit during the (Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan) in 2022, and in the bilateral meeting between them, Chinese President Xi Jinping officially invited to his Iranian counterpart “Ibrahim Raisi” to visit Beijing.
After the Chinese-Gulf summit in December 2022, Chinese-Iranian relations witnessed severe tension, following what Iran described as the positions raised during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Saudi Arabia and his meeting with many leaders of Arab countries, which caused Tehran’s resentment and anger to ease Tehran’s anger, Beijing sent Chinese Vice Premier “Hu Chunhua” to Iran, who, during his meeting with the Iranian president, stressed China’s determination to develop its comprehensive strategic partnership with Iran. Iran summoned the Chinese ambassador to Tehran, to the headquarters of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, to express its strong dissatisfaction with the statement of the Chinese-Gulf summit, which included the status of the islands (Abu Musa, Greater Tunb and Lesser Tunb) and China’s courtesy of the Gulf people at the expense of the Iranians in accordance with Iranian anger. In September 2022, the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman, “Nasser Kanaani”, confirmed that: “All allegations made in the final statement of the Gulf Cooperation Council regarding the three Iranian islands are rejected”
This is what Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi confirmed in December 2022, that:
“Some of the positions that were raised during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s recent visit to the Gulf region in December 2022 caused “discontent and discontent among the people and government in Iran”
The most prominent thing that caught my eye and my reading of the scene analytically during the visit of Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi” to China on Wednesday, February 15, 2023, was his specific request to deliver an official, public and popular speech for him at Peking University, China, with the growing interest of officials in Tehran in particular to go to Peking University as a The mother university in China, which enjoys a special high status among the Chinese people. Although the official reception ceremony held by Chinese President “Xi Jinping” for the President of the Islamic Republic of Iran, “Ayatollah Sayyid Ebrahim Raisi” took place in the National People’s Congress building, the President’s choice of “Raisi” for Peking University in particular had Iranian clear connotations and indications to attract more admirers of Iranian policies among many categories of Chinese students, while expanding the base of those interested in learning the Persian language, and sending them on long scholarships to Tehran while preparing special learning programs for them, within the framework of what is known as Iranian soft power in managing its foreign relations file, especially with Great powers, such as China.
Also, on a personal and analytical level, I remember very well the selected Chinese official invitation addressed to me personally, when I was studying in Beijing to meet “the official of the Iranian nuclear file at the Iranian embassy in Beijing”, and I remember very well this fruitful meeting with one of the most prominent officials of the Iranian nuclear file in the capital, Beijing. And the world, which I focused during my interview with him on his country’s position on the Arab Gulf countries, and whether they care about Iran’s nuclear program in support of Washington and the West, or that the Gulf’s focus may be focused on other regions and circles of interest.
What caught my attention the most during the visit of the official of the Iranian nuclear file to Peking University and my invitation to meet him was the presence of a Jewish colleague of mine from the United States of America who was studying with me at Peking University in China at the time. To meet the Iranian nuclear file official at the Iranian embassy in Beijing with me. This is what stopped me strongly, given his presence was for purely intelligence and security reasons, as it became clear to me after recording and filming the entire meeting of the Iranian nuclear file official, and he asked purely intelligence questions at the time of interest to the American side, such as: Can Iran allow the complete dismantling of its nuclear program and facilities in order to lift the sanctions on it? And rapprochement naturally with the world? This raised a big question mark for me, by asking about the reasons for China’s invitation to a Jewish colleague studying at Peking University to meet the Iranian nuclear file official at the Iranian embassy in Beijing.
It was also worth mentioning to me, the insistence of the official of the Iranian nuclear file at the Iranian embassy in Beijing, during my meeting with him, to speak Persian only, even when answering any question directed to me in English or Chinese, with the presence of a Persian translator with him. Which I interpreted at the time as that this matter became intentional so that none of his statements would be misunderstood and interpreted in a manner other than their true intention and meaning, especially from Washington and the West. Therefore, the safest solution is to speak in his mother tongue, Persian, in response to any question.
Here, an analytical link occurred in my mind between the importance of Peking University in China and Iran’s insistence on being there, given the seriousness of the position of the “Iranian nuclear file official at the Iranian embassy in Beijing” and the political speech delivered by Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi” upon his visit to Beijing and his insistence on delivering a speech there. In particular. An analysis of Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi’s speech at the Chinese University of Peking on Wednesday, February 15, 2023, came at a gathering of officials, professors, and students of Peking University, to send a stern message to the United States of America and the West, indicating that agreement between Beijing and Tehran is the only way to international pluralism. In his speech, he specifically emphasized:
“A new world has begun to emerge and the old order is disappearing,” he added, adding: “Iran’s strength is a source for building security and its regional capabilities support peace and stability in countries”
Prior to Ibrahim Raisi’s visit to Beijing, Raisi published an important article, under the title: “Old friends are the best partner for a bright future,” in the People’s Daily of the ruling party in China, stressing Tehran’s determination to advance the strategic partnership on the political and economic levels with Beijing.
We find that the most important goal of the Iranian President Raisi’s visit to China is to thwart the US blockade and paralyze its impact on trade relations between Iran and other countries with the assertion of Iranian President “Ebrahim Raisi” during his speech at Peking University, China, that:
“Iran affirms pluralism as a global approach and a common axis of the two countries’ international positions”
The Iranian President Raisi’s visit to China also comes within the framework of strengthening relations between Iran, China and Russia at the strategic level, with President “Ibrahim Raisi” indicating on more than one occasion and during his speech at Peking University that “this triangle constitutes the primary influencing nucleus at the international level”. In addition to the joint economic and investment cooperation between China and Tehran, we will find the file of military relations between the two sides, which was described by a senior Iranian official, by confirming that Beijing is one of Tehran’s main customers for drones, revealing his country’s intention to supply its Chinese ally with 15,000 drones. . Days before President Raisi’s visit to China, the senior adviser to the Iranian Minister of Intelligence confirmed that: “Iran’s military capabilities have reached a level that made China prepare to buy 15,000 drones from Tehran, given the presence of customers for Iranian drones in 90 countries around the world.”
We find that the visit of the Iranian president to China is a strategic goal for Tehran within the framework of strengthening and vitalizing relations between it and China following the strategic partnership agreement concluded between them for a period of 25 years, and it comes after the opening of a new Chinese consulate during the month of December 2022 in (Iranian Bandar Abbas region), as voted China is against Iran’s removal from the United Nations Women’s Committee. Bearing in mind that the strategic partnership agreement between China and Iran will allow China to lease Iranian islands in the Persian Gulf, and to deploy Chinese security forces for the first time abroad, numbering 5,000 Chinese soldiers, to protect Chinese projects in Iran, in addition to allowing the presence of more Chinese personnel and equipment to support final shipments of oil, gas and petrochemical materials from Iran to China whenever necessary and as agreed upon.
President Ibrahim Raisi’s earlier statements came as a confirmation of Iran’s declared positions with China, during the Shanghai Cooperation and Security Organization summit, in reference to the importance of Iran’s membership in the Shanghai Organization, that: “At the regional level, Iran has membership in the Shanghai Organization, which It created a connection with the economic infrastructure of the region, and created a good basis for communication with all Asian countries, especially China.
President “Raisi” also confirmed, prior to his summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, that:
“Strengthening Iran’s relations with Russia and China is a priority of his foreign policy”
All Chinese media reported the words of the Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi”, upon his visit to Peking University, and the Chinese state channel, CCTV, quoted Chinese President “Xi Jinping” as saying:
“In the face of the current complex changes in the world, time and history, China and Iran have supported each other and expressed their solidarity and cooperation”
In the same context, the spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry “Wang Wenbin” confirmed, in a press statement to him, that:
“The Iranian president’s visit to China will help stability in the Middle East, and it does not target any third party, and it will contribute to the well-being of the Iranian and Chinese peoples”
In light of the financial restrictions imposed by the sanctions on Iran’s financial exchanges and the return of its export revenues to the country, the accompaniment of the Ministers of Economy and the Governor of the Central Bank of Iran in the delegation accompanying President “Raisi” aims primarily to find solutions to overcome the crisis of scarcity and scarcity of hard currency in the country.
Of course, strengthening Chinese-Iranian relations and partnership between them in various fields of cooperation and helping each other in various matters is certainly undesirable and unpopular for America and Europe and causes concern for them. For this reason, they are concerned about President Raisi’s visit to China, and President Raisi’s visit to Moscow has faced the same objection and concern before.
At the same time, Iran is trying to promote its importance to China, Russia and the world, such as the Iranian assertion that the Iranians’ possession of many capabilities may help them to be exploited by the countries of the giant BRICS economic bloc led by China and Russia, as confirmed by Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi” in his statements:
“The BRICS member states also possess capabilities that Iran can use, and one of these capabilities is in the field of energy, and Iran’s accession to the BRICS group will certainly be an important development in the economies of those BRICS member states, and in some way it will have an impact on the West’s relations with these countries”
The most important outcome of Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi’s announced visit to China was Iran’s insistence with China to follow up on the implementation of the strategic document for the next 25 years between the two countries, and to better invest the capabilities of Tehran and Batin in order to improve the level of relations between them, especially in the economic and trade field. And the signing of twenty cooperation documents between the two countries.
The most important thing for me is the assertions of the Chinese President, Comrade “Xi Jinping”, during his conversation with the Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi” on respecting Iran’s territorial integrity, as well as his agreement with the Iranians on the necessity and inevitability of confronting unilateralism in the international system, and stressing the need to confront the interference of foreigners in various parts of the world.
Here came the response of Iranian President “Ayatollah Raisi” to his Chinese counterpart “Xi Jinping” by expressing his appreciation for China’s positive and constructive role in the talks to lift the sanctions, with the agreement of the Chinese and Iranian sides on the violation of the nuclear agreement by the Americans and the failure of European countries to fulfill their obligations. Therefore, the Iranian president confirmed to his Chinese counterpart that:
“Westerners have once again fallen into a miscalculation with regard to lifting sanctions with Iran, not realizing that Iranian Islam and its conscious people are stronger and more confident than ever before on the path of development and progress”
During the meeting between the Chinese and Iranian presidents, Chinese President “Xi Jinping” insisted on criticizing the unilateral and tyrannical behavior of Western countries on the international arena. Comrade Chinese President “Xi Jinping” asserted literally:
“Unfortunately, these countries still insist on the wrong approach of the Cold War era, and this has caused damage to international and global norms, peace and security”
The results of Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi’s visit to China reflected good results for the Iranians, as that visit had a great impact on the reality of international political life, especially with the emergence of signs of the decline of American hegemony over the regimes in the Middle East, with the trend of many countries that had been for a long time. It follows the policies of the United States of America and the West, in reviewing its policies, challenging the policies of American dictates, and rejecting the conditions of the European Union on it in managing its political and economic files.
This is a reflection of the most prominent words of Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi’s speech at Peking University, with his strict emphasis as a declared Iranian message of defiance, about:
“Iran’s choice to direct its compass to the east will unveil many capitals that think in the same direction that Tehran has taken, especially since everyone has suffered from the hypocrisy of the United States of America and the European Union, and it may open before them better economic prospects and less costs”
The strongest statement of the Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi”, from my personal point of view, was his message, that:
“Some countries that are wary of heading east towards China and Russia are often not decision-making countries or that their rulers are employees of the US government. They do not dare object to Washington’s projects in the region”
The strongest public Iranian criticism and messages came from the Iranian President “Ibrahim Raisi”, that:
“Some rulers became so immersed in the relationship with America that they put their people and the level of their countries in the gutter”
Hence, we understand, in general, the extent of the Chinese rapprochement with Iran as a single pragmatic and practical path that serves both sides. Its aim is to intensify cooperation and bloc in the face of the current American pressures, with an attempt to create a new global financial system that jumps over the system of international transfers of international currencies, known internationally as “SWIFT”. As part of the tireless efforts on its way to expand to include many countries in the world, led by a number of countries in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, to get rid of American and Western financial and economic pressures around the world, especially countries such as China, Russia and Iran.
Courtesy: Modern Diplomacy
You may like
POLITICS
Israel’s Expansion in Gaza: A Turning Point in the Conflict and the Future of Palestinian Territory
Published
3 months agoon
April 16, 2025By
Editor
Baba Yunus Muhammad
In an alarming escalation, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz has announced the “capture of large areas” of the Gaza Strip to be permanently integrated into Israeli “security zones.” This declaration, made on April 15, 2025, signals a dangerous and irreversible shift in the decades-long Israeli occupation: the transition from occupation to de facto annexation.
Israeli airstrikes continue to pummel Khan Younis and Rafah, killing dozens, including women, children, and the elderly. Gaza’s Health Ministry reports over 900 people killed in recent days alone — many of them children. The cumulative death toll now exceeds 50,000, with more than 110,000 injured, many maimed for life. The majority are civilians.
In the most chilling development this week, a mass grave was uncovered in Khan Younis containing the bodies of 15 Palestinian rescue workers — bound, shot, and buried. These were not combatants, but medics and volunteers. The execution-style killings speak to a deepening moral crisis that now grips the conflict.
Strategic Expansion: Occupation Masquerading as Security
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has recently confirmed Israel’s intentions to create a “second Philadelphi corridor,” effectively carving Gaza into disconnected territories. This would further divide and control the population, while seizing critical border areas along the Egypt-Gaza frontier.
Human rights organizations, including Israel’s own Gisha, warn that Israel has already seized 62 square kilometers of Gaza — nearly one-fifth of the territory — under the guise of “buffer zones.” These so-called zones increasingly resemble permanent annexations. What began as a war is morphing into a land grab, executed under the fog of military necessity.
As one analyst told The Islamic Economist: “This is not just about dismantling Hamas. It is about redrawing the map of Gaza, erasing Palestinian sovereignty, and engineering a demographic reality where Palestinians are forced to leave or live under siege indefinitely.”
Trump Administration and the Shift in American Policy
Under the current Trump administration, Israel enjoys unprecedented diplomatic latitude. Former President Biden opposed any moves to reoccupy Gaza or expel its residents, insisting on a political solution. President Trump, however, has openly spoken of Gaza as a potential “Riviera” and suggested relocating Palestinians to Egypt or Jordan — ideas widely condemned as ethnic cleansing.
Simultaneously, the Israeli government has quietly launched a bureau for the “voluntary transfer” of Gaza’s population. But with Gaza reduced to rubble, its hospitals shut down, bakeries burned, and humanitarian aid blocked, what appears voluntary on paper is, in reality, coerced displacement.
The UN and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) have warned that such transfers violate international law, potentially amounting to war crimes. But with a muted response from key Western capitals, including Washington, the machinery of occupation continues unabated.
Deliberate Starvation as a Tool of War
Since January, Israel has imposed a near-total siege on Gaza. Water systems have been destroyed. Fuel is forbidden. Wheat reserves have run out. The United Nations World Food Programme says all bakeries are now closed. Only a few humanitarian kitchens remain — and they too are on the verge of collapse.
The result: Gaza is now facing famine. Children are dying from dehydration and starvation, not just bombs. Diseases are spreading through overcrowded shelters and makeshift camps. The siege is not a byproduct of war — it is the strategy itself.
By making Gaza uninhabitable, Israel appears to be pressuring its civilian population to flee. As history has shown — from the Nakba in 1948 to today — displacement is not a side effect. It is the plan.
Hostages and the Politics of Delay
Israel continues to justify its campaign by citing the 59 hostages held by Hamas since the October 2023 attack, which killed 1,200 Israelis. But as families of the hostages grow increasingly vocal, many accuse the government of sacrificing their loved ones for political and territorial gains.
Polls show that the Israeli public now favors a ceasefire deal that brings the hostages home, even if it means withdrawing from Gaza. But the Netanyahu government — emboldened by far-right coalition partners and a sympathetic White House — refuses to halt the offensive.
Hamas, meanwhile, demands a permanent ceasefire and the right to remain in power. Israel insists on total military victory and Hamas’s destruction. The resulting deadlock is costing lives — every day.
A Moment of Reckoning for the Muslim World
The silence from many Muslim capitals is deafening. While some countries have condemned the atrocities, few have taken tangible steps — whether diplomatic, legal, or economic — to halt the carnage. The Ummah watches in horror, but action remains limited.
Yet this is not just a Palestinian issue. It is a moral and existential test for the Islamic world. Gaza is not just being destroyed — it is being erased. If this moment passes without consequence, the precedent will be set: that under the right geopolitical conditions, a people can be displaced, their land seized, and their history rewritten — with impunity.
The Muslim world must ask: what kind of future are we building, if the soil of the Holy Land can be soaked in blood and the world simply watches?
Conclusion: Toward Justice, Not Just Ceasefire
This is not just a war. It is a transformation of Gaza’s geography, identity, and people. The Palestinian struggle is no longer about borders — it is about survival.
The Islamic world, together with all people of conscience, must raise its voice against this unfolding injustice. Ceasefire is no longer enough. What is needed is an international movement — legal, economic, political, and moral — to end the occupation, prevent annexation, and restore dignity and self-determination to the Palestinian people.
Gaza may be small in landmass. But in the story of justice, it has become a vast battlefield for the soul of humanity.
POLITICS
The Battle for Khartoum: Tracking Sudan’s War over Two Years
Published
4 months agoon
April 2, 2025By
Editor
After nearly two years of brutal fighting, Sudan’s civil war is at a critical juncture: the Sudanese Armed Forces announced it has regained control of the capital Khartoum from its rivals, the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. It’s yet to be seen if this signals a break in the war or is simply another phase in the fighting. In this article, Kagure Gacheche tracks the conflict since it began in 2023.
Sudan has been engulfed in brutal conflict since 15 April 2023, when tensions between the country’s two most powerful military factions erupted into civil war.
The conflict stems from a long-standing power struggle over military control and integration. Fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces began in the capital, Khartoum, and quickly spread across the country. International efforts to broker peace since have largely failed.
The conflict, which has been going on for two years now, has created one of the world’s worst humanitarian emergencies. An estimated 30 million Sudanese civilians are in need of aid. Brutal attacks, looting and destruction of infrastructure have become commonplace. Millions of people lack access to essential medical care. Food shortages and economic collapse have worsened the suffering. The war has also triggered a massive displacement crisis, with more than 14 million people forced to flee their homes. Many have sought refuge in neighbouring countries, while others remain trapped in dangerous conditions within Sudan.
As the conflict drags on, the toll on Sudan’s people continues to grow. Estimates of those killed vary widely, from 20,000 to 62,000, but the actual figure could be much larger. With no clear resolution in sight, Sudan’s crisis is one of the most urgent and devastating conflicts in the world. At The Conversation Africa, we have worked with academics who have tracked the conflict since 2023.
Weapons flow
Early on, it was clear that both the Sudanese army and the paramilitary force had a sufficient supply of weapons to sustain a protracted conflict. The country was already awash with firearms. It is ranked second – after Egypt – among its regional neighbours in total firearms estimates. Khristopher Carlson, part of a research project tracking small arms and armed violence in Sudan, noted that the two Sudanese forces might have different fighting methods but were adequately equipped to trade fire. The army’s superiority was its air force and heavy arsenal on the ground. The paramilitary force relied on nimble mobile units equipped primarily with small and light weapons.
External interference
This proliferation of weapons has been compounded by financial and military support from external states. Various foreign players – Chad, Egypt, Iran, Libya, Qatar and Russia – have picked a side to support. However, the influence of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates has been particularly problematic. Political scientist Federico Donelli explained that the two nations viewed Sudan as a key nation because of its location. Following President Omar al-Bashir’s ouster in 2019, the two monarchies bet on different factions within Sudan’s security apparatus. This external support exacerbated internal competition. Riyadh maintained close ties with army leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. Abu Dhabi aligned itself with the head of the Rapid Support Forces, Mohamed Dagalo, or Hemedti.
Regional dynamics
The support from international players in Sudan’s war has had a damaging effect on regional dynamics. The Sudanese army recently accused the United Arab Emirates of supplying the Rapid Support Forces with weapons through Chad. At a ceremony for an officer killed in a drone strike carried out by paramilitary forces, a senior army official said Chad’s airports would be “legitimate targets” should retaliatory action become necessary. This heightened the risk of a spillover of the Sudanese conflict. Sudan shares borders with seven countries in an unstable region, including Chad, South Sudan, Eritrea and Ethiopia. Economics professor and legal expert John Mukum Mbaku warned that a spillover of the fighting could devastate the region economically, socially and politically.
Protecting civilians
The conflict has put millions of civilians in Sudan in the crossfire. A UN report in September 2024 called for an independent force to protect civilians; Sudan’s officials rejected the proposal. However, peace talks have yet to achieve a lasting ceasefire. Sudan had a peacekeeping force between 2007 and 2020, followed by a UN-led political mission that exited in February 2024. Since then, there has been no security presence in Sudan responsible for protecting civilians. Peacekeeping researcher Jenna Russo noted the need for a regional or international peace force that could create “green zones”. This would help protect areas where displaced persons were sheltering and facilitate humanitarian aid.
What’s been missing?
High-level peace talks brokered by the African Union and the UN to negotiate a ceasefire have largely been unsuccessful, putting civilians at constant risk. Talks held in Switzerland and Jeddah have had little impact. Philipp Kastner, a peace scholar, highlighted that the countries hosting or supporting these talks were pursuing competing interests in Sudan, which affected their impartiality. Progress to negotiate an end to the war would be unlikely if external military support to the warring parties continued unabated. Civilians would continue to pay the price.
Kagure Gacheche is the commissioning Editor, East Africa.
Courtesy: The Conservation
POLITICS
Russia-Ukraine War: A Delicate Pause Amid Geopolitical Maneuvering
Published
4 months agoon
March 20, 2025By
Editor
B.Y. Muhammad
In a surprising development, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has agreed to a mutual pause in attacks on energy infrastructure with Russia for 30 days, marking a potential step toward a broader cease-fire. The agreement, facilitated through a phone conversation with former U.S. President Donald Trump, underscores the shifting dynamics of international involvement in the ongoing conflict.
The Cease-Fire Agreement: Tactical or Strategic?
While the 30-day truce is being framed as a diplomatic breakthrough, there are indications that the Kremlin has not deviated from its broader objectives in Ukraine. Russia’s agreement to pause strikes on energy infrastructure, participate in prisoner exchanges, and discuss security in the Black Sea has been presented as a concession. However, these elements align with longstanding Russian interests, making it unclear whether the Kremlin has genuinely altered its stance or is simply buying time.
Zelensky, while agreeing to the deal, expressed skepticism regarding Russia’s commitment, emphasizing the need for U.S. monitoring. “Just the assertion and the word of Putin that he will not strike energy sites is too little,” he remarked, underscoring the deep mistrust between Kyiv and Moscow.
Russian Strategy and Western Concerns
Western analysts argue that the Kremlin’s approach remains fundamentally unchanged. Putin’s overarching demand—a complete cessation of foreign military and intelligence support for Ukraine—would, if met, leave Kyiv vulnerable to Russian dominance. While Trump denied discussing aid with Putin, the Kremlin’s statement suggested otherwise, raising questions about the true nature of their discussions.
This development has heightened fears that Moscow is merely playing for time, anticipating that the U.S. may eventually disengage from Ukraine. The timing of this cease-fire agreement, coupled with Russia’s battlefield momentum and growing Western fatigue, suggests that Moscow might be maneuvering for a strategic advantage rather than pursuing genuine peace.
U.S. and Russian Diplomatic Calculations
Trump’s involvement in the negotiations signals a potential shift in U.S. policy. The former president has historically expressed skepticism toward Ukraine’s strategic importance, and his willingness to engage with Putin could indicate a broader recalibration of Washington’s stance. Russia, in turn, appears eager to leverage this opportunity to normalize relations with the U.S. without making significant concessions on Ukraine.
Moscow has already floated the prospect of economic cooperation with American firms, particularly in the rare earth metals and energy sectors. Additionally, discussions have included cultural engagements, such as a proposed U.S.-Russia hockey tournament—seemingly trivial, yet indicative of Russia’s broader attempt to reframe its relationship with Washington beyond the Ukraine conflict.
Implications for Ukraine and the Global Order
For Ukraine, the stakes remain high. While a temporary cessation of hostilities on energy infrastructure provides some relief, the country remains in a precarious position. The prospect of losing its principal backer, the U.S., could force Kyiv into unfavorable compromises that undermine its sovereignty.
For the broader international community, the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to reflect a contest not only between two nations but between geopolitical blocs vying for influence. Russia seeks to restore its sphere of control, while the West struggles to maintain a unified front in supporting Ukraine. Meanwhile, the Islamic world, with its historical ties to both Russia and Ukraine, watches closely, balancing economic interests and diplomatic relations in a rapidly evolving global landscape.
While the 30-day cease-fire offers a temporary reprieve, it is far from a definitive step toward peace. The agreement highlights the ongoing complexities of diplomacy in wartime, the strategic calculations of global powers, and the uncertain future of Ukraine’s sovereignty. As negotiations continue, the world waits to see whether this pause will serve as a bridge to lasting peace or merely as a tactical interlude in a protracted conflict.

The Magician’s Inkbolt: The 12-Day War and the Collapse of Strategic Trust

In Memoriam: Professor Khurshid Ahmad (1932–2025). An Intellectual Giant and Father of Islamic Economics.

Absent from Abuja, Present in Paris
Topics
- AGRIBUSINESS & AGRICULTURE
- BUSINESS & ECONOMY
- CULTURE
- DIGITAL ECONOMY & TECHNOLOGY
- EDITORIAL
- ENERGY
- EVENTS & ANNOUNCEMENTS
- HEALTH & EDUCATION
- IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
- ISLAMIC ECONOMY
- ISLAMIC FINANCE & CAPITAL MARKETS
- KNOWLEDGE CENTRE, CULTURE & INTERVIEWS
- OBITUARY
- OPINION
- POLITICS
- PROFILE
- PUBLICATIONS
- REPORTS
- SPECIAL FEATURES/ECONOMIC FOOTPRINTS
- SPECIAL REPORTS
- SUSTAINABILITY & CLIMATE CHANGE
- THIS WEEK'S TOP STORIES
- TRENDING
- UNCATEGORIZED
- UNITED NATIONS SDGS