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Celebrating a Legacy of Reforms and Transformation in Nigeria: The Armed Forces Ruling Council (AFRC) 27th August, 1985 – 27th August 1993.

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By Baba Yunus Muhammad

On August 27, 1985, precisely 38 years ago, Nigeria witnessed a significant turning point in its history as Gen. Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida and the Armed Forces Ruling Council (AFRC) took charge of the nation’s affairs, following a bloodless palace coup that supplanted the Supreme Military Council administration of Major General Muhammadu Buhari. Over the next eight years, Babangida’s regime would bring about a series of economic, political, and social reforms that would shape the country’s trajectory and leave a lasting legacy.

One of the remarkable feats of Gen. Babangida’s regime was its ability to implement sweeping economic and political reforms despite navigating through the turbulent waters of a global oil price downturn. Facing a dire economic situation characterized by declining oil revenues, mounting external debt, and inflation, the Babangida administration embarked on a program of economic reforms known as the Structural Adjustment program (SAP). The SAP, launched in 1986, was aimed at addressing Nigeria’s economic vulnerabilities by liberalizing the economy, reducing government intervention, and encouraging private sector growth. The program was supported by international financial institutions like the World Bank and IMF, as a way to stabilize the economy and promote sustainable development.

While the SAP intended to create a more stable and prosperous economy, its implementation had a series of unintended consequences that deeply affected the Nigerian population, especially the poor and vulnerable. Some of the key challenges included the removal of subsidies on fuel and essential commodities, austerity measures, unemployment and devaluation of the Naira.

The public dissatisfaction with the socioeconomic impacts of the SAP culminated in a series of protests and demonstrations known as the SAP riots. The unrest occurred in various parts of the country, with protesters expressing their frustration over the rising cost of living, unemployment, and deteriorating living conditions. The SAP riots were characterized by street protests, strikes, and clashes with security forces.

President Babangida’s response to the SAP riots was characteristic of his leadership style: a combination of negotiations, reforms, and efforts to address public grievances. He acknowledged the need to balance economic reforms with social welfare concerns. Consequently, the government initiated measures to mitigate the negative impacts of the SAP, including targeted programs to support vulnerable populations and stimulate economic growth.

If anything, the SAP riots served as a reminder of the importance of addressing the social dimensions of economic reforms. The events also highlighted the need for effective communication, transparency, and sensitivity to the potential social implications of policy changes in a developing country context. While the SAP was meant to transform Nigeria’s economy, the riots exposed the importance of taking into account the human and social factors that could shape the success or failure of such reforms. The aftermath of the riots influenced subsequent policy decisions, encouraging a more comprehensive approach to development that incorporates the concerns and needs of all segments of society.

The Babangida administration’s demonstration of great resilience and determination in diversifying the Nigerian economy led to the initiation of policies that bolstered non-oil sectors and liberalized trade, attracted foreign investments, stimulated industrial and private sector growth.

President Babangida’s administration was also characterized by significant political reforms, including the restructuring of the country through the creation of more states and Local Government Areas. Twelve states, namely, 1. Akwa Ibom 2. Enugu 3. Delta 4. Kebbi 5. Osun 6. Abia 7. Ebonyi 8. Taraba 9. Nassarawa 10. Yobe 11. Kogi 12. Jigawa were created during his tenure, to foster inclusivity and grassroots participation. This decentralization of the power structure of Nigeria promoted socio-economic development, brought governance closer to the people, enhanced regional development, improved representation, and fostered inclusivity in the decision-making processes.

As we commemorate the 38th anniversary of the military regime of General Ibrahim Babangida, it is important to recognize not only the remarkable economic and political reforms but also the exceptional quality of the ministers and advisors that served the administration during this period. This period could arguably be described as an era of enlightened governance in Nigeria as the regime is credited with enlisting one of the best teams in Nigeria’s history. Notable individuals who served in the government included: 1. Professor Olikoye Ransome-Kuti: Minister of Health and renowned global health advocate.  2. Professor Bolaji Akinyemi, who brought a unique blend of academic acumen and practical diplomatic experience to his role as Foreign Minister. His tenure was marked by his strategic vision, innovative approaches, and steadfast commitment to advancing Nigeria’s interests on the global stage. 3. Chief Philip Asiodu: Secretary to the Government of the Federation, known for his exceptional administrative skills and contributions to national development. 4. Dr. Kalu Idika Kalu: Minister of Finance, an economist who played a crucial role in implementing the economic reforms. 5. Professor Jubril Aminu: Minister of Education and a respected academician who contributed to educational development. 6. Alhaji Abubakar Alhaji: Minister of Budget and Planning, known for his expertise in economic planning and management. These individuals and many others formed a talented and dedicated team that contributed to the success of President Babangida’s administration.

General Ibrahim Babangida, as President, was known for his exceptional leadership qualities and unique characteristics. His ability to navigate complex political landscapes, and his relentless pursuit of progress and peace set him apart.  No doubt, Gen. Babangida was characterized by his pragmatism, charisma, and forward-thinking approach. He demonstrated an exceptional ability to connect with both the urban and rural populace, bridging gaps in society and transcending ethnic and cultural boundaries. His leadership style was defined by civility, inclusivity, promotion of dialogue and collaboration among different segments of the Nigerian society. His visionary approach, commitment to national unity, and resilience in implementing necessary reforms, adaptability and commitment to the welfare of Nigerians remained unwavering, and left an indelible mark on the nation. President Babangida’s statesmanship and ability to foster relationships both domestically and internationally earned him tremendous respect globally.

The legacy of Gen. Babangida’s regime is punctuated by numerous landmark achievements. His administration embarked on an ambitious infrastructure development program, which led to the construction and rehabilitation of road networks, bridges, airports, telecommunications and other critical sectors nationwide. Some notable landmark infrastructure projects include: 1. Third Mainland Bridge: The construction of this iconic bridge in Lagos, one of the longest in Africa, improved transportation and connectivity in Lagos. 2. Abuja: The development and construction of Nigeria’s new capital city, Abuja, showcased President Babangida’s commitment to national development and unity. 3. National Stadium Complex: The establishment of this sporting arena in Abuja provided a state-of-the-art facility for hosting national and international events. 4. Ajaokuta Steel Complex: This steel mill, which aimed to boost Nigeria’s industrial capacity, was a significant infrastructural project during the regime. These efforts laid the foundation for modernizing Nigeria’s infrastructure and creating an environment conducive to economic growth and development.

Gen. Ibrahim Babangida’s tenure as Nigeria’s President, witnessed a significant overhaul of Nigeria’s security structure, reflecting his commitment to enhancing national security and stability. The restructuring was aimed to modernize and streamline security agencies to better address the evolving challenges facing the nation.

One of the notable reforms in the security sector was the dissolution of the National Security Organization (NSO), which was then split into three agencies under the Office of the Co-coordinator of National Security in 1986: the State Security Service was created and envisioned as an intelligence agency responsible for internal security matters, counterintelligence, and safeguarding against threats to the state. The National Intelligence Agency which was also established in 1986, was tasked with handling external intelligence and security matters. The NIA’s primary focus was on gathering intelligence related to foreign threats, international relations, and protecting Nigeria’s interests abroad. The creation of the NIA was aimed to strengthen Nigeria’s intelligence capabilities in the global context, enabling the country to make informed decisions on international matters. The Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) was saddled with military-related intelligence outside and inside Nigeria.

The reorganization of the Nigerian Military and Police Force was one of the efforts the Babangia administration made to improve effective coordination between the military and the police, fostering collaboration in maintaining law and order. This included initiatives to enhance professionalism, accountability, and effectiveness within both organizations.

The National Security Council (NSC) was also established by the Babangida administration as a high-level body to oversee security matters and provide strategic guidance. The NSC played a crucial role in shaping security policies and responses during his administration.

Babangida’s restructuring of Nigeria’s security structure was aimed at adapting to the changing security dynamics and promoting a more integrated approach to national security. While the restructuring brought about positive changes, it also highlighted the ongoing need to balance security measures with respect for human rights and civil liberties. The reforms laid the groundwork for future administrations to continue refining and adapting the security apparatus of the country to address emerging challenges. The legacy of Babangida’s security reforms underscores the complex nature of maintaining security in a diverse and dynamic nation like Nigeria.

President Babangida’s tenure was also marked by several landmark features that set his administration apart. His government prioritized social welfare programs, investing heavily in education and healthcare. The government’s efforts to alleviate poverty were evident through the establishment of community-based programs and initiatives to empower the less privileged. Additionally, he established the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) to combat unemployment and promote skills acquisition, further demonstrating his commitment to the welfare of the Nigerian people.

Gen. Babangida’s commitment to poverty alleviation and women empowerment was exemplified by his recognition of the crucial role women play in nation-building and consequently, implemented policies to empower and uplift them. President Babangida appointed women to key positions of authority and launched initiatives to promote gender equality and women’s participation in various sectors of the economy. Furthermore, his government introduced policies and programs aimed at promoting gender equality, such as the establishment of the National Center for Women Development (NCWD) and the initiation of the affirmative action to increase women’s representation in political positions.

In the annals of Nigerian history, the legacy of the Babangida regime goes beyond political and economic reforms. It shines a spotlight on the transformative role played by the dynamic and visionary First Lady, Maryam Babangida. Her pet project, the “Better Life for the Rural Woman” initiative, stands as a testament to her unwavering commitment to empowering women and uplifting marginalized communities.

The first lady recognized that the backbone of Nigeria’s society often resided in rural areas, where women played pivotal roles in agriculture, family, and community development. Inspired by her compassion and determination to effect positive change, she launched the Better Life for the Rural Woman initiative in 1987. This initiative focused on improving the lives of rural women through skill acquisition programs, healthcare services, and access to microcredit facilities. It showcased the administration’s dedication to uplifting marginalized communities and promoting gender equality. Maryam Babangida’s efforts challenged traditional gender roles and stereotypes, promoting gender equality and women’s active participation in socio-economic development.

The Better Life for the Rural Woman initiative remains an enduring symbol of Maryam Babangida’s dedication to uplifting the lives of Nigerian women. Her visionary approach to addressing the needs of rural women demonstrated that meaningful change can be brought about by targeted and grassroots-level interventions. The initiative’s impact continues to be felt through the improved livelihoods, increased self-esteem, and empowered communities that it nurtured. Maryam Babangida’s legacy as a champion of women’s rights and rural development is etched into Nigeria’s history and serves as an inspiration for future generations!

Another program that exemplified the Babangida administration’s commitment to inclusive development and nation-building was the Nomadic Education Program which was launched in 1989, to provide educational opportunities to nomadic communities across Nigeria. Recognizing the challenges faced by these communities in accessing quality education, the program established schools and provided educational opportunities for nomadic children. The implementation of the Nomadic Education Program involved setting up special schools, known as Nomadic Education Centers, in areas with significant nomadic populations to meet the unique needs of nomadic communities, including flexible school schedules that accommodated their migratory lifestyle. It provided education that integrated pastoralism and upheld cultural values, allowing nomadic children to receive an education while still maintaining their traditional way of life. The program made significant strides in expanding access to education for nomadic communities, empowering them with knowledge and skills that would contribute to their personal and community development. Furthermore, it broke the cycle of poverty and ensured that nomadic children had equal opportunities for education and socio-economic advancement. The program’s legacy continues through subsequent administrations and initiatives that prioritize inclusive education for marginalized communities.

The Babangida administration was not without its dark moments. Perhaps, the darkest moment in President Babangida’s administration was the nullification of the June 12, 1993, presidential elections. His political reforms and transition had midwifed the June 12 Presidential elections, which was widely regarded as one of the fairest and most credible in Nigeria’s history, with Chief MKO Abiola emerging as the presumed winner. However, due to unforeseen circumstances, the election was annulled. This unfortunate decision sparked unprecedented political controversy in Nigeria as it also highlighted the complexities of the country’s political landscape at the time. While this decision was met with widespread criticism, it is essential to acknowledge that President Babangida later took personal responsibility for the actions and expressed remorse for the negative impact it had on Nigeria’s democratic journey.

General Ibrahim B. Babangida’s military administration holds a significant place in Nigeria’s history. It was a period marked by economic resilience, political reforms, political restructuring through states creation, and the pursuit of progress despite challenging circumstances. While not without its controversies, this era shaped Nigeria’s trajectory, leaving behind a legacy of reforms, commitment to infrastructure and social development, poverty alleviation and women empowerment efforts, and the continuous pursuit of a prosperous and united nation that have shaped Nigeria’s transition into a more globally competitive and inclusive nation.

In celebrating the 38th anniversary of Gen. Ibrahim Babangida’s military regime, it’s essential to acknowledge both the challenges it faced and the achievements it accomplished. From navigating economic difficulties to implementing sweeping reforms, Gen. Babangida’s legacy stands as a testament to his vision for a stronger, and more prosperous Nigeria. The impact of his leadership continues to influence the nation’s path, reminding us of the power of determined and forward-looking governance.

Baba Yunus Muhammad is a political affairs analyst and President, Africa Islamic Economic Foundation, Tamale, Ghana.


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POLITICS

Ceasefire or Cycle? Gaza and the Politics of a Manufactured Peace

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Baba Yunus Muhammad

When dawn broke over Gaza on the 9th of November, 2025, it brought neither peace nor silence. The roar of Israeli jets shattered the pretense of calm as explosions tore through crowded neighborhoods, refugee camps, and hospital shelters. By morning, at least 104 Palestinians were dead — 35 of them children. Among the ruins stood the Insan camp, a temporary refuge for cancer patients, reduced to dust and disbelief.

The strikes came just three weeks after a ceasefire agreement that the world hailed as a “turning point.” For Palestinians, ceasefires have long ceased to mean peace. They are pauses — brief, exhausted silences before the next storm.

Anatomy of a Fragile Ceasefire

The October 10 ceasefire, brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump, was the latest in a series of fragile truces. Like its predecessors, it emerged not from mutual understanding but mutual fatigue. Israel retained control of Gaza’s airspace, borders, and sea routes; its drones continued to hover overhead; its army remained positioned just beyond the fence. Gaza, meanwhile, was expected to disarm while receiving little relief from a blockade that has strangled its economy for more than seventeen years.

Netanyahu’s renewed airstrikes followed a firefight in which an Israeli soldier was killed. Hamas denied initiating the clash, accusing Israeli troops of provocation. The immediate spark came amid public outrage in Israel over Hamas handing over fragments of a hostage’s body — remains Israeli forces claimed to have recovered two years earlier. The symbolism ignited nationalist fury, and Netanyahu reached for a familiar weapon: war.

War as Political Theatre

To understand why ceasefires collapse, one must look beyond the battlefield to the political theatre surrounding it. Netanyahu has long used Gaza’s suffering as a backdrop for domestic consolidation. Each escalation allows him to recast himself as Israel’s “protector,” diverting attention from corruption charges, coalition infighting, and mounting social unrest.

For Hamas, resistance remains a key source of legitimacy. Under siege since 2007, governing one of the most densely populated and impoverished territories on earth, defiance is a declaration of existence. Each exchange of fire sustains the cycle: Israel bombs to restore deterrence; Hamas fires back to restore dignity. Civilians are left to mourn, rebuild, and wait for the next pause — one that will hold just long enough for the world to look away.

Ceasefire Without Justice

Ceasefires in Gaza are often truce agreements without justice. They pause the violence but leave structural oppression intact. Since 2009, more than a dozen ceasefires have been declared, yet the roots of the conflict — occupation, displacement, blockade — remain. The siege restricts movement, bans exports, and limits imports, including medical supplies and construction materials. Unemployment hovers around 50 percent, electricity is rationed, and most children have never known freedom.

The Global Theatre

President Trump’s declaration that “nothing will jeopardise the ceasefire” while endorsing Israel’s “right to hit back” exposes the moral contradictions of global diplomacy. The United States presents itself as a peace broker while supplying Israel with weapons that make peace impossible. Europe, too, speaks of international law even as it trades with settlement-based companies and arms the Israeli military. The result is complicity. For Palestinians, the “international community” has become a bitter phrase — a chorus that mourns the dead but funds the killers.

Counting the Cost

Behind the numbers lie human stories. Children who had survived multiple wars, doctors performing surgeries by flashlight, teachers turning bomb shelters into classrooms — all perished or struggled to survive in this latest attack. At the Insan camp, a sanctuary for cancer patients, survivors described a night of terror and despair: “We thought a medical facility would be safe. Now we know that nothing is.”

Amid devastation, Gaza endures. Volunteers dig through rubble with their bare hands. Teachers reopen classrooms in the shadows of ruins. Mothers cook what little food remains for neighbors who have lost everything. Survival itself is resistance.

The Economics of Occupation

Every war leaves Gaza poorer and more dependent. The destruction of infrastructure is systematic: roads, factories, schools, and farms targeted to erase economic independence. The blockade prevents reconstruction, ensuring reliance on international aid, often routed through Israeli checkpoints and banks.

Occupation thus creates a paradox: humanitarian relief sustains the very structures that destroy lives. For Islamic economists, this reveals the moral bankruptcy of a global financial order that profits from misery. Decolonisation, therefore, is not only political — it is economic. Ending occupation requires dismantling systems that convert suffering into commerce and war into industry.

Africa’s Mirror

For Africans, Palestine’s struggle is painfully familiar. From apartheid South Africa to colonial frontiers in Algeria and Kenya, the continent knows what it means to have land stolen, identity erased, and resistance criminalized. African solidarity with Palestine is not sentimentality; it is historical memory. Nelson Mandela captured this truth: “Our freedom is incomplete without the freedom of the Palestinians.”

Economic justice, rooted in ethics, equity, and human dignity, must be the foundation for lasting peace — not only for Palestine but for the Global South as a whole.

What Will It Take?

The question before the world is simple yet profound: Will the ceasefire hold?

History offers little optimism. A truce that leaves occupation intact is a truce built on sand. Peace cannot be sustained by fear or imposed by force. It requires justice — not as rhetoric, but as reality.

For Gaza, justice means an end to siege, reconstruction without interference, accountability for war crimes, and recognition of Palestinian rights. It demands that the world confront its complicity and act beyond rhetoric. Islamic ethical principles remind us that peace (salam) cannot exist without justice (adl), and wealth should serve humanity rather than domination.

Will the Ceasefire Hold?

Not as it stands. A ceasefire can stop bullets, but not the machinery that fires them. It can pause violence, but not the ideology that justifies it. True peace will hold only when Gaza is free, Palestinians are sovereign, and the international community prioritizes justice over geopolitics.

Until then, each ceasefire is not the end of war, but preparation for the next. Yet hope persists — in Gaza’s hospitals, in classrooms rebuilt from rubble, in mothers who refuse despair. The ceasefire will hold only when the world’s conscience does — when justice, not expedience, becomes the guiding principle.

Footnote:

AFRIEF Webinar — “Palestine: Stolen or Decolonised?”

The Africa Islamic Economic Forum (AFRIEF) will host a two-hour virtual webinar exploring the political economy of Palestine, the structures sustaining occupation, and pathways toward decolonisation. Scholars, economists, and policy experts will examine how ethical finance, economic justice, and international solidarity intersect with the struggle for Palestinian sovereignty.

This webinar builds on discussions highlighted in this feature, providing a platform for informed dialogue on justice-oriented economics, human dignity, and the moral imperatives that must guide responses to Gaza’s ongoing crisis.

Baba Yunus Muhammad is the President of the Africa Islamic Economic Forum and a political and economic analyst with a focus on sustainable development, global trade, and Islamic economics. He writes regularly on issues of economic justice, governance, and the intersection of faith and finance


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The Economics of Legitimacy: When Power is Stolen, Prosperity is Postponed.

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Every economy rests on a foundation deeper than currency or trade — it rests on trust. When citizens no longer believe in their leaders, when institutions are captured and laws become elastic, the economy’s moral infrastructure collapses. This is the real cost of Africa’s democratic decay.

Illegitimate power corrodes fiscal discipline. Leaders who rule through manipulation rather than consent spend to survive, not to serve. They inflate bureaucracies, buy loyalty, and mortgage the future for immediate political calm. Public debt balloons, corruption thrives, and the poor — who have no lobby — bear the cost.

The link between governance and growth is now undeniable. The African Development Bank estimates that corruption and mismanagement cost the continent up to $150 billion annually. Countries with transparent elections enjoy three times higher foreign investment and twice the rate of economic diversification. By contrast, states governed by decree or deception face chronic capital flight and social unrest.

For the Islamic economist, legitimacy (sharʿiyyah) is not only a political concept; it is an economic principle. The Qur’an ties justice (ʿadl) to sustenance (rizq): “If the people of the towns had believed and been mindful of God, We would have opened for them blessings from the heavens and the earth.” (Qur’an 7:96).

Where rulers govern through consultation (shūrā) and accountability, nations prosper. Where deceit rules, even natural wealth turns into a curse. The lesson is clear: no budget, bond, or bailout can compensate for the loss of legitimacy.

……….Power Without Expiry Dates: The Continent’s Longest Reigns and the Price of Their Politics

Across Africa, the ballot box is losing its moral weight. Constitutions promise renewal, but power lingers. From Cameroon to Tanzania, the story is the same: elections are held, but accountability is postponed. What emerges is not people’s choice but political endurance — and the longer rulers stay, the weaker their nations grow.

In Cameroon, Paul Biya has ruled since 1982 — a staggering 43 years — recently securing another victory amid boycotts and fraud claims. Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, in power since 1986, continues to suppress dissent and throttle the internet at every poll. Teodoro Obiang Nguema of Equatorial Guinea has outlasted every African Union chairman since 1979, routinely “winning” with over 95% of the vote. In Eritrea, Isaias Afwerki governs without a single national election since independence in 1993.

Others are newer but no less troubling. Alassane Ouattara of Côte d’Ivoire claimed a constitutional “reset” to justify a third term in 2020. Samia Suluhu Hassan of Tanzania returned to power in 2025 with 98% of the vote, following arrests of opposition figures and curbs on the press. In Guinea, Mamadi Doumbouya — the military ruler who once promised civilian rule — has now banned opponents while announcing his own candidacy.

These are not aberrations; they are the architecture of Africa’s political stagnation.

Rigged Votes, Real Losses

Weak governance has an economic signature — and it’s written in red.
The IMF reports that Africa’s average risk premium on sovereign bonds stands at 6.8%, more than double the emerging-market norm. UNCTAD finds foreign investment fell 12% in unstable states since 2019. Youth unemployment averages 33% across the region. Tax systems collect barely 13–15% of GDP, compared to 33% globally. The African Development Bank estimates 5–7% of GDP is lost yearly to corruption and mismanagement.

Where leaders cling to power, capital flees. Where institutions collapse, the poor are left to pay in silence.

Where Ballots Bow to Bayonets

Across the continent, only a handful of nations — Botswana, Mauritius, Cabo Verde — maintain genuinely free and fair elections. Others, like Kenya, Ghana, and Senegal, wobble between progress and regression. The majority now live under systems where democracy is a façade: Tanzania, Uganda, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea, and Egypt — all red on the Freedom House map, where gavel, crown, and tank replace the ballot box.

The Democracy–Development Disconnect

The numbers expose the paradox: the top 10 authoritarian states have an average per capita income of USD 2,100; the most democratic average USD 6,700.
Over 25 African nations have known one-party or one-man rule for more than a quarter-century.
Only nine have experienced peaceful power transfers in the past decade.
And according to Freedom House (2025), 77% of Africans now live under “partly free” or “not free” regimes.

“No economy can flourish where institutions are hollow, and no democracy can endure where justice is for sale.”
\Justice Is the Currency of Governance

Islamic values offer a forgotten metric of leadership. The Prophet ﷺ ruled through shūrā (consultation), ʿadl (justice), amānah (trust), and maṣlaḥah (the public good). These principles are the “coins” of moral legitimacy — yet today, most regimes rate dangerously low on each. Governance has become transactional, not ethical.

Until Africa restores the moral foundation of its politics, democracy will remain ritual — and economic reform, an illusion.

……..When the Pulpit Falls Silent: Why Africa’s Ulema Must Speak for Justice

Silence is not neutrality. In the Qur’an, the Prophet Shuʿayb was sent to a people whose commerce was unjust; he warned them that cheating the scales invites divine wrath. Today, across much of Africa, our scales — political, economic, moral — are badly tilted. Leaders cling to office through manipulation, youth lose faith in ballots, and public wealth is consumed by private greed.

This is not merely a political failure; it is a spiritual one. The Qur’an commands: “O you who believe, stand firmly for justice, witnesses for Allah, even if against yourselves or your kin.” (4:135). If the faithful will not hold rulers accountable, who will?

Africa’s mosques and religious institutions wield enormous moral authority. They educate, they counsel, they comfort — but too often, they retreat from confronting injustice for fear of politics. Yet the Prophet ﷺ said: “The greatest jihad is to speak a word of truth before a tyrant ruler.” Silence before oppression is not prudence; it is complicity.

Imams, scholars, and Islamic economists can champion reform without partisanship. They can preach about stewardship (amānah), integrity in public service, and the sin of corruption. They can organise civic literacy workshops that teach believers their constitutional rights and responsibilities. They can remind the wealthy and powerful that every dinar taken unjustly will be accounted for before Allah.

Africa does not lack constitutions; it lacks conscience. When mosques become centres of justice education, when the faithful demand accountability as a religious duty, when economic policy is shaped by moral restraint — then democracy will cease to be a ritual and become a trust once more.


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POLITICS

Samia Suluhu Hassan: Power, Pragmatism — and a Presidency Under Strain

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Baba Yunus Muhammad

When Samia Suluhu Hassan assumed Tanzania’s presidency in 2021, she arrived on a tide of cautious optimism. The sudden death of her predecessor, John Magufuli, had left the country in shock and uncertainty. Samia’s calm tone and early conciliatory gestures—restoring international ties, meeting opposition leaders, reopening dialogue with donors—were widely read as signs of a gentler, more pragmatic leadership. Yet four years later, that optimism has largely faded.

The October 2025 election cemented her power in dramatic fashion: an official landslide, nearly 98 percent of the vote, granting her and the ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) an overwhelming mandate. But it was a victory shadowed by suppression and fear. Opposition figures were disqualified or detained, campaign events broken up by security forces, and independent media throttled by new restrictions. When results were announced, protests erupted in Dar es Salaam, Mwanza, and Arusha. Police responded with curfews and force. Several deaths were reported.

The government insists it acted to preserve peace. Critics see the episode as proof that Tanzania’s democracy—once a regional example of quiet stability—has sunk into managed authoritarianism. The overwhelming vote margin, many observers argue, speaks less to popularity than to the absence of any genuine competition.

It is an irony of power: the leader once cast as healer now presides over an anxious nation. The ruling CCM, in office since independence, remains a formidable political machine. Its networks reach into nearly every district, its control of state resources entrenched through decades of incumbency. Samia’s presidency, in this sense, has deepened a long Tanzanian tradition—order without openness.

On the economic front, the picture is no less complex. Tanzania’s GDP growth has remained robust by regional standards, powered by construction, mining, services, and agriculture. Inflation is moderate, and the debt ratio comparatively healthy. Yet beneath these steady macro indicators lies a story of structural fragility. The country’s tax base is too narrow to sustain ambitious spending; vast public projects have piled up commitments without always yielding productivity gains. Youth unemployment is rising, rural inequality widening, and climate pressures increasingly threaten agriculture—the livelihood of most Tanzanians.

Multilateral institutions have praised Samia’s investment drive but warn that without deep revenue reform and stronger governance, Tanzania risks “growing without transforming.” Much of the growth remains urban and capital-intensive, leaving a restless young population excluded from its rewards. The president’s Vision 2050 blueprint—meant to drive industrialization and self-reliance—faces the same fiscal dilemma as similar plans before it: too few domestic resources, and too little political transparency to ensure that what’s spent is spent well.

The political climate only compounds those concerns. Human-rights organizations describe an expanding list of violations: arbitrary arrests, restrictions on assembly, forced evictions linked to development projects, and intimidation of journalists. In many regions, opposition rallies can only proceed under heavy surveillance, if at all. To international partners, Samia’s government projects a narrative of discipline and sovereignty; to her critics, it is a system increasingly allergic to dissent.

For ordinary Tanzanians, these dynamics are not abstract. Economic frustration meets shrinking civic space in dangerous ways. Farmers displaced from ancestral land, students struggling for jobs, and activists facing arrest—each is a symptom of a deeper imbalance between growth and justice. The protests that followed the 2025 election were not merely about votes, but about a sense that the system listens less and commands more.

Still, Samia remains a formidable political force. She has built her authority within CCM through a mix of pragmatism and patronage, consolidating the party’s factions and cultivating an image of motherly resolve. Her soft-spoken manner belies a leader keenly aware of power’s machinery and the price of control. In that respect, she has not betrayed her predecessor’s legacy so much as refined it—turning Magufuli’s confrontational nationalism into a more polished, internationally palatable form of dominance.

Tanzania’s future now stands at a delicate crossroads. One scenario envisions continued growth under tight political control—orderly, predictable, and perhaps efficient in the short term, but brittle in the long run. Another imagines a gradual opening, where the government restores civic freedoms and empowers institutions to check excess. The third, darker path would be escalation: more protests, harsher crackdowns, and international isolation that unravels the country’s economic promise.

The choice, ultimately, rests with the same woman who came to power preaching unity. Samia Suluhu Hassan governs a nation that still believes in its potential—a nation young, resource-rich, and eager for dignity. Whether she leads it toward inclusive prosperity or entrenched control will define not just her presidency, but Tanzania’s next chapter in history.

About the Author:
Baba Yunus Muhammad is the President of the Africa Islamic Economic Forum and a seasoned political analyst focusing on governance, democracy, and socio-economic transformation across Africa. He writes extensively on the intersection of faith, leadership, and political reform on the continent. His work bridges politics, economics, and moral philosophy, highlighting how governance and ethics shape development outcomes across the continent. babayunus@icloud.com


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