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Celebrating a Legacy of Reforms and Transformation in Nigeria: The Armed Forces Ruling Council (AFRC) 27th August, 1985 – 27th August 1993.

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By Baba Yunus Muhammad

On August 27, 1985, precisely 38 years ago, Nigeria witnessed a significant turning point in its history as Gen. Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida and the Armed Forces Ruling Council (AFRC) took charge of the nation’s affairs, following a bloodless palace coup that supplanted the Supreme Military Council administration of Major General Muhammadu Buhari. Over the next eight years, Babangida’s regime would bring about a series of economic, political, and social reforms that would shape the country’s trajectory and leave a lasting legacy.

One of the remarkable feats of Gen. Babangida’s regime was its ability to implement sweeping economic and political reforms despite navigating through the turbulent waters of a global oil price downturn. Facing a dire economic situation characterized by declining oil revenues, mounting external debt, and inflation, the Babangida administration embarked on a program of economic reforms known as the Structural Adjustment program (SAP). The SAP, launched in 1986, was aimed at addressing Nigeria’s economic vulnerabilities by liberalizing the economy, reducing government intervention, and encouraging private sector growth. The program was supported by international financial institutions like the World Bank and IMF, as a way to stabilize the economy and promote sustainable development.

While the SAP intended to create a more stable and prosperous economy, its implementation had a series of unintended consequences that deeply affected the Nigerian population, especially the poor and vulnerable. Some of the key challenges included the removal of subsidies on fuel and essential commodities, austerity measures, unemployment and devaluation of the Naira.

The public dissatisfaction with the socioeconomic impacts of the SAP culminated in a series of protests and demonstrations known as the SAP riots. The unrest occurred in various parts of the country, with protesters expressing their frustration over the rising cost of living, unemployment, and deteriorating living conditions. The SAP riots were characterized by street protests, strikes, and clashes with security forces.

President Babangida’s response to the SAP riots was characteristic of his leadership style: a combination of negotiations, reforms, and efforts to address public grievances. He acknowledged the need to balance economic reforms with social welfare concerns. Consequently, the government initiated measures to mitigate the negative impacts of the SAP, including targeted programs to support vulnerable populations and stimulate economic growth.

If anything, the SAP riots served as a reminder of the importance of addressing the social dimensions of economic reforms. The events also highlighted the need for effective communication, transparency, and sensitivity to the potential social implications of policy changes in a developing country context. While the SAP was meant to transform Nigeria’s economy, the riots exposed the importance of taking into account the human and social factors that could shape the success or failure of such reforms. The aftermath of the riots influenced subsequent policy decisions, encouraging a more comprehensive approach to development that incorporates the concerns and needs of all segments of society.

The Babangida administration’s demonstration of great resilience and determination in diversifying the Nigerian economy led to the initiation of policies that bolstered non-oil sectors and liberalized trade, attracted foreign investments, stimulated industrial and private sector growth.

President Babangida’s administration was also characterized by significant political reforms, including the restructuring of the country through the creation of more states and Local Government Areas. Twelve states, namely, 1. Akwa Ibom 2. Enugu 3. Delta 4. Kebbi 5. Osun 6. Abia 7. Ebonyi 8. Taraba 9. Nassarawa 10. Yobe 11. Kogi 12. Jigawa were created during his tenure, to foster inclusivity and grassroots participation. This decentralization of the power structure of Nigeria promoted socio-economic development, brought governance closer to the people, enhanced regional development, improved representation, and fostered inclusivity in the decision-making processes.

As we commemorate the 38th anniversary of the military regime of General Ibrahim Babangida, it is important to recognize not only the remarkable economic and political reforms but also the exceptional quality of the ministers and advisors that served the administration during this period. This period could arguably be described as an era of enlightened governance in Nigeria as the regime is credited with enlisting one of the best teams in Nigeria’s history. Notable individuals who served in the government included: 1. Professor Olikoye Ransome-Kuti: Minister of Health and renowned global health advocate.  2. Professor Bolaji Akinyemi, who brought a unique blend of academic acumen and practical diplomatic experience to his role as Foreign Minister. His tenure was marked by his strategic vision, innovative approaches, and steadfast commitment to advancing Nigeria’s interests on the global stage. 3. Chief Philip Asiodu: Secretary to the Government of the Federation, known for his exceptional administrative skills and contributions to national development. 4. Dr. Kalu Idika Kalu: Minister of Finance, an economist who played a crucial role in implementing the economic reforms. 5. Professor Jubril Aminu: Minister of Education and a respected academician who contributed to educational development. 6. Alhaji Abubakar Alhaji: Minister of Budget and Planning, known for his expertise in economic planning and management. These individuals and many others formed a talented and dedicated team that contributed to the success of President Babangida’s administration.

General Ibrahim Babangida, as President, was known for his exceptional leadership qualities and unique characteristics. His ability to navigate complex political landscapes, and his relentless pursuit of progress and peace set him apart.  No doubt, Gen. Babangida was characterized by his pragmatism, charisma, and forward-thinking approach. He demonstrated an exceptional ability to connect with both the urban and rural populace, bridging gaps in society and transcending ethnic and cultural boundaries. His leadership style was defined by civility, inclusivity, promotion of dialogue and collaboration among different segments of the Nigerian society. His visionary approach, commitment to national unity, and resilience in implementing necessary reforms, adaptability and commitment to the welfare of Nigerians remained unwavering, and left an indelible mark on the nation. President Babangida’s statesmanship and ability to foster relationships both domestically and internationally earned him tremendous respect globally.

The legacy of Gen. Babangida’s regime is punctuated by numerous landmark achievements. His administration embarked on an ambitious infrastructure development program, which led to the construction and rehabilitation of road networks, bridges, airports, telecommunications and other critical sectors nationwide. Some notable landmark infrastructure projects include: 1. Third Mainland Bridge: The construction of this iconic bridge in Lagos, one of the longest in Africa, improved transportation and connectivity in Lagos. 2. Abuja: The development and construction of Nigeria’s new capital city, Abuja, showcased President Babangida’s commitment to national development and unity. 3. National Stadium Complex: The establishment of this sporting arena in Abuja provided a state-of-the-art facility for hosting national and international events. 4. Ajaokuta Steel Complex: This steel mill, which aimed to boost Nigeria’s industrial capacity, was a significant infrastructural project during the regime. These efforts laid the foundation for modernizing Nigeria’s infrastructure and creating an environment conducive to economic growth and development.

Gen. Ibrahim Babangida’s tenure as Nigeria’s President, witnessed a significant overhaul of Nigeria’s security structure, reflecting his commitment to enhancing national security and stability. The restructuring was aimed to modernize and streamline security agencies to better address the evolving challenges facing the nation.

One of the notable reforms in the security sector was the dissolution of the National Security Organization (NSO), which was then split into three agencies under the Office of the Co-coordinator of National Security in 1986: the State Security Service was created and envisioned as an intelligence agency responsible for internal security matters, counterintelligence, and safeguarding against threats to the state. The National Intelligence Agency which was also established in 1986, was tasked with handling external intelligence and security matters. The NIA’s primary focus was on gathering intelligence related to foreign threats, international relations, and protecting Nigeria’s interests abroad. The creation of the NIA was aimed to strengthen Nigeria’s intelligence capabilities in the global context, enabling the country to make informed decisions on international matters. The Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) was saddled with military-related intelligence outside and inside Nigeria.

The reorganization of the Nigerian Military and Police Force was one of the efforts the Babangia administration made to improve effective coordination between the military and the police, fostering collaboration in maintaining law and order. This included initiatives to enhance professionalism, accountability, and effectiveness within both organizations.

The National Security Council (NSC) was also established by the Babangida administration as a high-level body to oversee security matters and provide strategic guidance. The NSC played a crucial role in shaping security policies and responses during his administration.

Babangida’s restructuring of Nigeria’s security structure was aimed at adapting to the changing security dynamics and promoting a more integrated approach to national security. While the restructuring brought about positive changes, it also highlighted the ongoing need to balance security measures with respect for human rights and civil liberties. The reforms laid the groundwork for future administrations to continue refining and adapting the security apparatus of the country to address emerging challenges. The legacy of Babangida’s security reforms underscores the complex nature of maintaining security in a diverse and dynamic nation like Nigeria.

President Babangida’s tenure was also marked by several landmark features that set his administration apart. His government prioritized social welfare programs, investing heavily in education and healthcare. The government’s efforts to alleviate poverty were evident through the establishment of community-based programs and initiatives to empower the less privileged. Additionally, he established the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) to combat unemployment and promote skills acquisition, further demonstrating his commitment to the welfare of the Nigerian people.

Gen. Babangida’s commitment to poverty alleviation and women empowerment was exemplified by his recognition of the crucial role women play in nation-building and consequently, implemented policies to empower and uplift them. President Babangida appointed women to key positions of authority and launched initiatives to promote gender equality and women’s participation in various sectors of the economy. Furthermore, his government introduced policies and programs aimed at promoting gender equality, such as the establishment of the National Center for Women Development (NCWD) and the initiation of the affirmative action to increase women’s representation in political positions.

In the annals of Nigerian history, the legacy of the Babangida regime goes beyond political and economic reforms. It shines a spotlight on the transformative role played by the dynamic and visionary First Lady, Maryam Babangida. Her pet project, the “Better Life for the Rural Woman” initiative, stands as a testament to her unwavering commitment to empowering women and uplifting marginalized communities.

The first lady recognized that the backbone of Nigeria’s society often resided in rural areas, where women played pivotal roles in agriculture, family, and community development. Inspired by her compassion and determination to effect positive change, she launched the Better Life for the Rural Woman initiative in 1987. This initiative focused on improving the lives of rural women through skill acquisition programs, healthcare services, and access to microcredit facilities. It showcased the administration’s dedication to uplifting marginalized communities and promoting gender equality. Maryam Babangida’s efforts challenged traditional gender roles and stereotypes, promoting gender equality and women’s active participation in socio-economic development.

The Better Life for the Rural Woman initiative remains an enduring symbol of Maryam Babangida’s dedication to uplifting the lives of Nigerian women. Her visionary approach to addressing the needs of rural women demonstrated that meaningful change can be brought about by targeted and grassroots-level interventions. The initiative’s impact continues to be felt through the improved livelihoods, increased self-esteem, and empowered communities that it nurtured. Maryam Babangida’s legacy as a champion of women’s rights and rural development is etched into Nigeria’s history and serves as an inspiration for future generations!

Another program that exemplified the Babangida administration’s commitment to inclusive development and nation-building was the Nomadic Education Program which was launched in 1989, to provide educational opportunities to nomadic communities across Nigeria. Recognizing the challenges faced by these communities in accessing quality education, the program established schools and provided educational opportunities for nomadic children. The implementation of the Nomadic Education Program involved setting up special schools, known as Nomadic Education Centers, in areas with significant nomadic populations to meet the unique needs of nomadic communities, including flexible school schedules that accommodated their migratory lifestyle. It provided education that integrated pastoralism and upheld cultural values, allowing nomadic children to receive an education while still maintaining their traditional way of life. The program made significant strides in expanding access to education for nomadic communities, empowering them with knowledge and skills that would contribute to their personal and community development. Furthermore, it broke the cycle of poverty and ensured that nomadic children had equal opportunities for education and socio-economic advancement. The program’s legacy continues through subsequent administrations and initiatives that prioritize inclusive education for marginalized communities.

The Babangida administration was not without its dark moments. Perhaps, the darkest moment in President Babangida’s administration was the nullification of the June 12, 1993, presidential elections. His political reforms and transition had midwifed the June 12 Presidential elections, which was widely regarded as one of the fairest and most credible in Nigeria’s history, with Chief MKO Abiola emerging as the presumed winner. However, due to unforeseen circumstances, the election was annulled. This unfortunate decision sparked unprecedented political controversy in Nigeria as it also highlighted the complexities of the country’s political landscape at the time. While this decision was met with widespread criticism, it is essential to acknowledge that President Babangida later took personal responsibility for the actions and expressed remorse for the negative impact it had on Nigeria’s democratic journey.

General Ibrahim B. Babangida’s military administration holds a significant place in Nigeria’s history. It was a period marked by economic resilience, political reforms, political restructuring through states creation, and the pursuit of progress despite challenging circumstances. While not without its controversies, this era shaped Nigeria’s trajectory, leaving behind a legacy of reforms, commitment to infrastructure and social development, poverty alleviation and women empowerment efforts, and the continuous pursuit of a prosperous and united nation that have shaped Nigeria’s transition into a more globally competitive and inclusive nation.

In celebrating the 38th anniversary of Gen. Ibrahim Babangida’s military regime, it’s essential to acknowledge both the challenges it faced and the achievements it accomplished. From navigating economic difficulties to implementing sweeping reforms, Gen. Babangida’s legacy stands as a testament to his vision for a stronger, and more prosperous Nigeria. The impact of his leadership continues to influence the nation’s path, reminding us of the power of determined and forward-looking governance.

Baba Yunus Muhammad is a political affairs analyst and President, Africa Islamic Economic Foundation, Tamale, Ghana.


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Israel’s Expansion in Gaza: A Turning Point in the Conflict and the Future of Palestinian Territory

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Baba Yunus Muhammad

In an alarming escalation, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz has announced the “capture of large areas” of the Gaza Strip to be permanently integrated into Israeli “security zones.” This declaration, made on April 15, 2025, signals a dangerous and irreversible shift in the decades-long Israeli occupation: the transition from occupation to de facto annexation.

Israeli airstrikes continue to pummel Khan Younis and Rafah, killing dozens, including women, children, and the elderly. Gaza’s Health Ministry reports over 900 people killed in recent days alone — many of them children. The cumulative death toll now exceeds 50,000, with more than 110,000 injured, many maimed for life. The majority are civilians.

In the most chilling development this week, a mass grave was uncovered in Khan Younis containing the bodies of 15 Palestinian rescue workers — bound, shot, and buried. These were not combatants, but medics and volunteers. The execution-style killings speak to a deepening moral crisis that now grips the conflict.

Strategic Expansion: Occupation Masquerading as Security

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has recently confirmed Israel’s intentions to create a “second Philadelphi corridor,” effectively carving Gaza into disconnected territories. This would further divide and control the population, while seizing critical border areas along the Egypt-Gaza frontier.

Human rights organizations, including Israel’s own Gisha, warn that Israel has already seized 62 square kilometers of Gaza — nearly one-fifth of the territory — under the guise of “buffer zones.” These so-called zones increasingly resemble permanent annexations. What began as a war is morphing into a land grab, executed under the fog of military necessity.

As one analyst told The Islamic Economist: “This is not just about dismantling Hamas. It is about redrawing the map of Gaza, erasing Palestinian sovereignty, and engineering a demographic reality where Palestinians are forced to leave or live under siege indefinitely.”

Trump Administration and the Shift in American Policy

Under the current Trump administration, Israel enjoys unprecedented diplomatic latitude. Former President Biden opposed any moves to reoccupy Gaza or expel its residents, insisting on a political solution. President Trump, however, has openly spoken of Gaza as a potential “Riviera” and suggested relocating Palestinians to Egypt or Jordan — ideas widely condemned as ethnic cleansing.

Simultaneously, the Israeli government has quietly launched a bureau for the “voluntary transfer” of Gaza’s population. But with Gaza reduced to rubble, its hospitals shut down, bakeries burned, and humanitarian aid blocked, what appears voluntary on paper is, in reality, coerced displacement.

The UN and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) have warned that such transfers violate international law, potentially amounting to war crimes. But with a muted response from key Western capitals, including Washington, the machinery of occupation continues unabated.

Deliberate Starvation as a Tool of War

Since January, Israel has imposed a near-total siege on Gaza. Water systems have been destroyed. Fuel is forbidden. Wheat reserves have run out. The United Nations World Food Programme says all bakeries are now closed. Only a few humanitarian kitchens remain — and they too are on the verge of collapse.

The result: Gaza is now facing famine. Children are dying from dehydration and starvation, not just bombs. Diseases are spreading through overcrowded shelters and makeshift camps. The siege is not a byproduct of war — it is the strategy itself.

By making Gaza uninhabitable, Israel appears to be pressuring its civilian population to flee. As history has shown — from the Nakba in 1948 to today — displacement is not a side effect. It is the plan.

Hostages and the Politics of Delay

Israel continues to justify its campaign by citing the 59 hostages held by Hamas since the October 2023 attack, which killed 1,200 Israelis. But as families of the hostages grow increasingly vocal, many accuse the government of sacrificing their loved ones for political and territorial gains.

Polls show that the Israeli public now favors a ceasefire deal that brings the hostages home, even if it means withdrawing from Gaza. But the Netanyahu government — emboldened by far-right coalition partners and a sympathetic White House — refuses to halt the offensive.

Hamas, meanwhile, demands a permanent ceasefire and the right to remain in power. Israel insists on total military victory and Hamas’s destruction. The resulting deadlock is costing lives — every day.

A Moment of Reckoning for the Muslim World

The silence from many Muslim capitals is deafening. While some countries have condemned the atrocities, few have taken tangible steps — whether diplomatic, legal, or economic — to halt the carnage. The Ummah watches in horror, but action remains limited.

Yet this is not just a Palestinian issue. It is a moral and existential test for the Islamic world. Gaza is not just being destroyed — it is being erased. If this moment passes without consequence, the precedent will be set: that under the right geopolitical conditions, a people can be displaced, their land seized, and their history rewritten — with impunity.

The Muslim world must ask: what kind of future are we building, if the soil of the Holy Land can be soaked in blood and the world simply watches?

Conclusion: Toward Justice, Not Just Ceasefire

This is not just a war. It is a transformation of Gaza’s geography, identity, and people. The Palestinian struggle is no longer about borders — it is about survival.

The Islamic world, together with all people of conscience, must raise its voice against this unfolding injustice. Ceasefire is no longer enough. What is needed is an international movement — legal, economic, political, and moral — to end the occupation, prevent annexation, and restore dignity and self-determination to the Palestinian people.

Gaza may be small in landmass. But in the story of justice, it has become a vast battlefield for the soul of humanity.


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The Battle for Khartoum: Tracking Sudan’s War over Two Years

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After nearly two years of brutal fighting, Sudan’s civil war is at a critical juncture: the Sudanese Armed Forces announced it has regained control of the capital Khartoum from its rivals, the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. It’s yet to be seen if this signals a break in the war or is simply another phase in the fighting. In this article, Kagure Gacheche tracks the conflict since it began in 2023.

Sudan has been engulfed in brutal conflict since 15 April 2023, when tensions between the country’s two most powerful military factions erupted into civil war.

The conflict stems from a long-standing power struggle over military control and integration. Fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces began in the capital, Khartoum, and quickly spread across the country. International efforts to broker peace since have largely failed.

The conflict, which has been going on for two years now, has created one of the world’s worst humanitarian emergencies. An estimated 30 million Sudanese civilians are in need of aid. Brutal attacks, looting and destruction of infrastructure have become commonplace. Millions of people lack access to essential medical care. Food shortages and economic collapse have worsened the suffering. The war has also triggered a massive displacement crisis, with more than 14 million people forced to flee their homes. Many have sought refuge in neighbouring countries, while others remain trapped in dangerous conditions within Sudan.

As the conflict drags on, the toll on Sudan’s people continues to grow. Estimates of those killed vary widely, from 20,000 to 62,000, but the actual figure could be much larger. With no clear resolution in sight, Sudan’s crisis is one of the most urgent and devastating conflicts in the world. At The Conversation Africa, we have worked with academics who have tracked the conflict since 2023.

Weapons flow

Early on, it was clear that both the Sudanese army and the paramilitary force had a sufficient supply of weapons to sustain a protracted conflict. The country was already awash with firearms. It is ranked second – after Egypt – among its regional neighbours in total firearms estimates. Khristopher Carlson, part of a research project tracking small arms and armed violence in Sudan, noted that the two Sudanese forces might have different fighting methods but were adequately equipped to trade fire. The army’s superiority was its air force and heavy arsenal on the ground. The paramilitary force relied on nimble mobile units equipped primarily with small and light weapons.

External interference

This proliferation of weapons has been compounded by financial and military support from external states. Various foreign players – Chad, Egypt, Iran, Libya, Qatar and Russia – have picked a side to support. However, the influence of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates has been particularly problematic. Political scientist Federico Donelli explained that the two nations viewed Sudan as a key nation because of its location. Following President Omar al-Bashir’s ouster in 2019, the two monarchies bet on different factions within Sudan’s security apparatus. This external support exacerbated internal competition. Riyadh maintained close ties with army leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. Abu Dhabi aligned itself with the head of the Rapid Support Forces, Mohamed Dagalo, or Hemedti.

Regional dynamics

The support from international players in Sudan’s war has had a damaging effect on regional dynamics. The Sudanese army recently accused the United Arab Emirates of supplying the Rapid Support Forces with weapons through Chad. At a ceremony for an officer killed in a drone strike carried out by paramilitary forces, a senior army official said Chad’s airports would be “legitimate targets” should retaliatory action become necessary. This heightened the risk of a spillover of the Sudanese conflict. Sudan shares borders with seven countries in an unstable region, including Chad, South Sudan, Eritrea and Ethiopia. Economics professor and legal expert John Mukum Mbaku warned that a spillover of the fighting could devastate the region economically, socially and politically.

Protecting civilians

The conflict has put millions of civilians in Sudan in the crossfire. A UN report in September 2024 called for an independent force to protect civilians; Sudan’s officials rejected the proposal. However, peace talks have yet to achieve a lasting ceasefire. Sudan had a peacekeeping force between 2007 and 2020, followed by a UN-led political mission that exited in February 2024. Since then, there has been no security presence in Sudan responsible for protecting civilians. Peacekeeping researcher Jenna Russo noted the need for a regional or international peace force that could create “green zones”. This would help protect areas where displaced persons were sheltering and facilitate humanitarian aid.

What’s been missing?

High-level peace talks brokered by the African Union and the UN to negotiate a ceasefire have largely been unsuccessful, putting civilians at constant risk. Talks held in Switzerland and Jeddah have had little impact. Philipp Kastner, a peace scholar, highlighted that the countries hosting or supporting these talks were pursuing competing interests in Sudan, which affected their impartiality. Progress to negotiate an end to the war would be unlikely if external military support to the warring parties continued unabated. Civilians would continue to pay the price.

Kagure Gacheche is the commissioning Editor, East Africa.

Courtesy: The Conservation


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Russia-Ukraine War: A Delicate Pause Amid Geopolitical Maneuvering

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B.Y. Muhammad

In a surprising development, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has agreed to a mutual pause in attacks on energy infrastructure with Russia for 30 days, marking a potential step toward a broader cease-fire. The agreement, facilitated through a phone conversation with former U.S. President Donald Trump, underscores the shifting dynamics of international involvement in the ongoing conflict.

The Cease-Fire Agreement: Tactical or Strategic?

While the 30-day truce is being framed as a diplomatic breakthrough, there are indications that the Kremlin has not deviated from its broader objectives in Ukraine. Russia’s agreement to pause strikes on energy infrastructure, participate in prisoner exchanges, and discuss security in the Black Sea has been presented as a concession. However, these elements align with longstanding Russian interests, making it unclear whether the Kremlin has genuinely altered its stance or is simply buying time.

Zelensky, while agreeing to the deal, expressed skepticism regarding Russia’s commitment, emphasizing the need for U.S. monitoring. “Just the assertion and the word of Putin that he will not strike energy sites is too little,” he remarked, underscoring the deep mistrust between Kyiv and Moscow.

Russian Strategy and Western Concerns

Western analysts argue that the Kremlin’s approach remains fundamentally unchanged. Putin’s overarching demand—a complete cessation of foreign military and intelligence support for Ukraine—would, if met, leave Kyiv vulnerable to Russian dominance. While Trump denied discussing aid with Putin, the Kremlin’s statement suggested otherwise, raising questions about the true nature of their discussions.

This development has heightened fears that Moscow is merely playing for time, anticipating that the U.S. may eventually disengage from Ukraine. The timing of this cease-fire agreement, coupled with Russia’s battlefield momentum and growing Western fatigue, suggests that Moscow might be maneuvering for a strategic advantage rather than pursuing genuine peace.

U.S. and Russian Diplomatic Calculations

Trump’s involvement in the negotiations signals a potential shift in U.S. policy. The former president has historically expressed skepticism toward Ukraine’s strategic importance, and his willingness to engage with Putin could indicate a broader recalibration of Washington’s stance. Russia, in turn, appears eager to leverage this opportunity to normalize relations with the U.S. without making significant concessions on Ukraine.

Moscow has already floated the prospect of economic cooperation with American firms, particularly in the rare earth metals and energy sectors. Additionally, discussions have included cultural engagements, such as a proposed U.S.-Russia hockey tournament—seemingly trivial, yet indicative of Russia’s broader attempt to reframe its relationship with Washington beyond the Ukraine conflict.

Implications for Ukraine and the Global Order

For Ukraine, the stakes remain high. While a temporary cessation of hostilities on energy infrastructure provides some relief, the country remains in a precarious position. The prospect of losing its principal backer, the U.S., could force Kyiv into unfavorable compromises that undermine its sovereignty.

For the broader international community, the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to reflect a contest not only between two nations but between geopolitical blocs vying for influence. Russia seeks to restore its sphere of control, while the West struggles to maintain a unified front in supporting Ukraine. Meanwhile, the Islamic world, with its historical ties to both Russia and Ukraine, watches closely, balancing economic interests and diplomatic relations in a rapidly evolving global landscape.

While the 30-day cease-fire offers a temporary reprieve, it is far from a definitive step toward peace. The agreement highlights the ongoing complexities of diplomacy in wartime, the strategic calculations of global powers, and the uncertain future of Ukraine’s sovereignty. As negotiations continue, the world waits to see whether this pause will serve as a bridge to lasting peace or merely as a tactical interlude in a protracted conflict.

 


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