Dr. Hasim Turker

On February 24, 2025, the United Nations General Assembly witnessed an event that sent shockwaves through diplomatic circles worldwide. A resolution condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine passed with 93 votes in favor, 18 against, and 65 abstentions. Yet, it was not the overall result that captured global attention—it was the fact that the United States, long considered Ukraine’s staunchest supporter, voted against the resolution alongside Russia. In parallel, the UN Security Council adopted a US-drafted resolution that called for a “swift end” to the conflict but conspicuously omitted any attribution of blame to Moscow. The resolution, supported by Russia and China, stood in stark contrast to previous UN votes that had unequivocally condemned Russia’s actions.

These votes were not just procedural moments in international diplomacy. They signaled a tectonic shift in US foreign policy —one that moves away from the moral and strategic certainties of the past and toward a transactional, interest-driven realignment. The implications of this shift are profound, not just for Ukraine but for the entire fabric of global alliances, particularly in the Asia-Pacific, where long-standing US security commitments are now being scrutinized with heightened concern.

 From moral clarity to strategic ambiguity: The US position at the UN

Historically, the United States has used the UN as a platform to advance its vision of a rules-based international order, frequently rallying allies to uphold democratic values and deter authoritarian aggression. The UN votes on Ukraine, however, revealed a stunning reversal of this long-held strategy. By opposing a resolution that explicitly condemned Russia’s invasion, Washington abandoned its traditional role as a guarantor of Ukraine’s sovereignty. As for the US-drafted UNSC resolution, the abstentions from key European allies—France, the UK, Denmark, Greece, and Slovenia—further underscored the growing transatlantic rift regarding how to handle the conflict.

For European nations, the shift in US posture raised existential questions. If Washington could alter its stance on Ukraine so dramatically, what guarantees did NATO allies have that their security interests would remain non-negotiable? Would a similar transactional approach emerge in Asia, where China’s assertiveness threatens US allies such as Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan?

 A signal to Moscow, a green light to Beijing?

The immediate beneficiary of the US policy shift is Russia. While previous UN resolutions had overwhelmingly isolated Moscow, the latest votes demonstrated that the diplomatic tide was turning. By securing Washington’s opposition to an anti-Russia resolution, the Kremlin gained not only symbolic validation but also tangible diplomatic breathing room. The global narrative that once portrayed Russia as an aggressor is now being muddied by the strategic recalibrations of the United States.

Yet, the greater strategic consequence may lie in the Asia-Pacific, where China is closely studying Washington’s evolving foreign policy doctrine. If the U.S. can pivot away from Ukraine so decisively, why should allies in the Indo-Pacific expect unwavering American support in the event of a crisis? This question is particularly pressing for Taiwan, whose security rests on implicit US commitments. If Taiwan were to face military aggression from China, would Washington maintain its traditional security guarantees, or would it adopt a similarly pragmatic, negotiation-driven approach?

 The Asia-Pacific: Unraveling the trust factor

Japan and South Korea, two of the most critical US allies in the region, have already begun recalibrating their security postures in response to shifting priorities in Washington. South Korea, for instance, recently announced a record-breaking $46.3 billion defense budget for 2025, reflecting deep-seated concerns about regional stability. Meanwhile, Japan has accelerated its military modernization efforts, focusing on strengthening its air and naval capabilities to counter potential threats from both North Korea and China.

For these allies, Washington’s shifting stance at the UN is not an isolated event—it is a warning sign. The Trump administration’s willingness to negotiate directly with Russia over Ukraine, even at the cost of sidelining Kyiv, suggests that similar deals could be struck elsewhere, depending on shifting US interests. If Taiwan becomes the next crisis zone, Tokyo and Seoul must now contemplate the possibility that Washington might prioritize a grand bargain with Beijing over steadfast support for its Indo-Pacific allies.

 The transactional turn in global diplomacy

At the heart of this new paradigm is a fundamental shift in how the United States approaches alliances. The post-World War II model, built on unwavering commitments and long-term strategic partnerships, is being replaced by a framework that evaluates relationships through a cost-benefit lens. Trump’s handling of Ukraine exemplifies this approach: rather than defending Ukraine as a matter of principle, Washington is now considering what it can extract from the situation, including economic leverage over Ukraine’s vast natural resources.

This transactional mindset is not lost on allies and adversaries alike. For nations like India and Vietnam—non-treaty partners that maintain strategic ties with Washington but also engage with Beijing—the lesson is clear: the U.S. is willing to pivot rapidly if its national interests dictate such a move. This could push these nations to hedge their bets, seeking a more balanced approach between the U.S. and China rather than placing full confidence in US commitments.

 A future defined by uncertainty

As the dust settles from the UN votes, one reality is undeniable: the credibility of US commitments is now under question across multiple theaters of geopolitical competition. The immediate consequences are already unfolding in Ukraine, where European allies must now decide how to fill the gap left by Washington’s wavering stance. But the longer-term impact will be felt in the Indo-Pacific, where the US security umbrella has long been the bedrock of regional stability.

If the United States is no longer willing to stand unequivocally by its allies, then nations that have historically depended on US security assurances must prepare for an era of greater self-reliance. This could mean more aggressive military posturing, accelerated nuclear deterrence programs, and a fundamental reshaping of regional alliances.

For the broader international system, the consequences could be even more profound. The UN votes on Ukraine may be remembered as the moment when the rules-based international order began to fracture, not because of external threats, but because the world’s leading power chose to play by different rules.

Dr. Turker is the academic coordinator and senior researcher at Bosphorus Center for Asian Studies, Turkey, Ankara

By Dr Kabir Umar Dasuki

In the realm of governance, it is rare to witness leaders who transcend political affiliations to deliver impactful, people-centered policies. His Excellency, Governor Ahmad Aliyu of Sokoto State, since assuming office in 2023, has distinguished himself as one such leader. His administration has laid the groundwork for sustainable development and social progress, earning commendation across political divides. As a member of the opposition, this acknowledgment is not borne out of sycophancy but from a genuine recognition of good governance and a commitment to celebrating impactful leadership.

A Vision for Educational Transformation

The APC led administration of Governor Ahmad Aliyu Sokoto has prioritized education as a cornerstone of societal progress. A significant highlight of his tenure is the intervention for 88 Sokoto State medical students affected by the crisis in Sudan. Rather than allowing these future healthcare professionals to languish in uncertainty, his administration facilitated their transfer to Usmanu Danfodiyo University Medical College, ensuring their education remained uninterrupted. This bold initiative underscores his administration’s commitment to nurturing human capital and fostering resilience in the face of challenges.

Moreover, the government has invested heavily in educational infrastructure and teacher training programs. By creating an enabling environment for both students and educators, the administration is building a foundation for a more enlightened and competitive youth population in Sokoto State.

Commitment to Workers’ Welfare

One of the most commendable aspects of Governor Aliyu’s governance is his dedication to workers’ welfare, particularly retired civil servants. For years, pensioners in Sokoto State endured hardships due to unpaid gratuities and pensions. Governor Aliyu’s administration took decisive action to address these issues, clearing arrears and ensuring timely payments. This commitment has restored dignity and financial stability to thousands of retirees.

As a direct beneficiary of this policy, I can personally attest to its transformative impact. After years of waiting, I received my gratuity under his administration, a testament to his resolve to honor commitments and prioritize the well-being of retirees. This act of leadership goes beyond policy—it represents a compassionate approach to governance that recognizes the sacrifices of public servants.

Additionally, his administration has introduced reforms to streamline the pension system, reducing bureaucratic bottlenecks and ensuring that retirees receive their entitlements without undue delays. Active civil servants have also benefited from prompt salary payments and capacity-building programs aimed at enhancing their professional development.

Infrastructure Development for a Sustainable Future

Infrastructure development has been a hallmark of Governor Aliyu’s administration. Recognizing the pivotal role infrastructure plays in economic growth and social mobility, the government has allocated substantial resources to transformative projects. The 2025 budget, aptly named the “Transformation and Infrastructural Sustainability Budget,” allocated ₦349.4 billion—approximately 66% of the total budget—to capital projects. This bold commitment reflects the administration’s focus on fostering connectivity, improving public facilities, and creating an enabling environment for economic activities.

Roads, bridges, and public buildings are being constructed and rehabilitated to enhance accessibility and stimulate commerce. These efforts are not merely about constructing physical structures; they symbolize a commitment to creating lasting impact and empowering communities across Sokoto State.

Addressing Water Scarcity

Water scarcity has long been a pressing issue in Sokoto State. Governor Aliyu’s administration has tackled this challenge head-on, awarding a ₦14 billion contract for a water project capable of delivering 40 million gallons per day to Sokoto metropolis. This ambitious initiative is set to provide potable water to thousands of households, improving public health outcomes and supporting local industries reliant on water resources.

By prioritizing such a critical sector, the administration demonstrates its understanding of the intersection between basic amenities and overall quality of life. This project is a beacon of hope for residents who have long struggled with inadequate access to clean water.

Enhancing Security and Community Resilience

Security remains a paramount concern for any government, and Governor Aliyu’s administration has shown commendable resolve in addressing this issue. Over 130 patrol vehicles have been procured and distributed to security agencies, significantly enhancing their operational capacity to combat banditry and other criminal activities.

In addition, the establishment of the Community Guard Corps, equipped with 40 patrol vehicles and 700 motorcycles, reflects a grassroots approach to security. This initiative empowers communities to take an active role in safeguarding their neighborhoods, fostering resilience and collaboration between citizens and security agencies.

Fiscal Responsibility and Governance:

In an era where many states grapple with unsustainable debt, Sokoto State under Governor Aliyu stands out for its fiscal discipline. His administration has managed to execute numerous developmental projects without resorting to loans, maintaining a debt-free status with contractors. This prudent approach ensures long-term sustainability and reflects a governance model rooted in accountability and financial responsibility.

Strengthening Religious and Community Cohesion

Governor Aliyu’s administration has shown a unique commitment to fostering unity and inclusivity across Sokoto State. Monthly cash allocations to Juma’at mosques and grassroots preachers, coupled with food and cash assistance, have strengthened community ties and supported religious leaders in their efforts to promote harmony and social values. These measures highlight the governor’s dedication to creating a cohesive society where every segment feels valued and included.

Challenges and Areas for Improvement

While Governor Aliyu’s achievements are commendable, there are areas where, in my opinion, further attention can accelerate progress:

Healthcare: Sokoto State can benefit from a comprehensive upgrade of healthcare facilities, particularly in rural areas, to improve access and quality of care.

Agriculture and Livestock Development: Given Sokoto State’s potential as an agricultural hub, policies that promote mechanized farming, irrigation systems, and agro-processing industries can enhance food security and economic diversification. Furthermore, Sokoto State has immense potential to become a leader in livestock production. The establishment of a modernized meat processing industry would enable the state to tap into the lucrative international meat market. Such a program should focus on enhancing livestock health, breeding practices, and processing facilities that meet global standards. This initiative would create jobs, boost revenue, and position Sokoto as a major player in the global Halal meat market.

Youth Empowerment: Expanding skills acquisition programs and providing startup grants can reduce unemployment and encourage entrepreneurship among youth.

Urban and Rural Development: Initiatives to improve urban planning and rural electrification. Conclusion: Leadership That Transcends Politics

Governor Ahmad Aliyu’s administration has set a high standard for governance in Sokoto State. His achievements in education, workers’ welfare, infrastructure, water resource management, security, and fiscal responsibility are not only commendable but transformative. These milestones are a testament to his vision, compassion, and unwavering commitment to the people of Sokoto State.

As a member of the opposition in the state, it is my duty to recognize and celebrate impactful leadership, irrespective of political affiliations. Governor Aliyu’s governance serves as a shining example of what is possible when leaders prioritize the needs of the people over partisan interests. His administration’s legacy will undoubtedly inspire future leaders and set a benchmark for effective governance in Nigeria.

May his achievements continue to bring progress and prosperity to Sokoto State, and may other leaders across the nation emulate his dedication to service and excellence.

Dr Kabir Umar Dasuki is the Chairman/CEO of DUKE Consult Ltd, an Abuja based consulting firm.

By Frank Kane

The World Economic Forum’s “Special Meeting” got off to a comparatively low-key start in Riyadh on Sunday – the first time Saudi Arabia has staged a full-blown WEF event after a few years of dancing around issues on both sides. Would the security-conscious Saudis allow the “men from Switzerland” the freedom to organise potentially controversial discussions with the abandon they sometimes display in Davos?

Would the Swiss be sufficiently aware of the red lines in the kingdom, all the more vivid in times of heightened regional geopolitical tensions?On the evidence of Day 1, there was sufficient give-and-take on both sides to produce a valuable and thought-provoking addition to the global forums circuit – even if it lacked some of the pizzazz of the Future Investment Initiative gathering known as “Davos in the desert” and the anarchic round-the-clock buzz of the WEF’s annual meeting in the Swiss Alps.

It was certainly smaller and less crowded than the other two events. The Saudi Royal Guard, who assumed responsibility for security at the Ritz-Carlton conference complex, ensured an orderly event, although some members of the international media had difficulty getting the necessary security clearance.

Saudi Arabia – at the cockpit of those tensions in the Middle East and a leading energy exporter – is the perfect place to consider the question. Mohammed Al Jadaan, the Saudi finance minister, set the tone in an early panel session with the grave warning that ”geopolitical risks are possibly the No 1 risk as you look at the global economy” and urged “agility” by policymakers to head off the threat.

Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, which is due to open a regional office in Riyadh, hammered home that message in a neat bit of alliteration: “We may end up with this decade being remembered as the Turbulent Twenties, or the Tepid Twenties, when what we actually want is the Transformational Twenties.”

The first of many “elephants in the room” – the risk of confrontation between Israel and Iran arising from the conflict in Gaza – was recognised when Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president, arrived at the opening plenary session. No stranger to the Davos circuit, Abbas repeated his call for the US to push for a two-state solution, saying it was the only way to end the conflict. “Only they can do it,” he declared.

Kristalina Georgieva, IMF managing director, told the forum the decade should be remembered as ‘the Transformational Twenties’ Most of the WEF’s overarching themes came together in the first big set-piece devoted to energy. The session was called “People, policy, finance: realising an equitable energy transition” – and there were elephants aplenty in the chandeliered cavern of the plenary hall.

The hydrocarbon giants were well represented by Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, and his Qatari counterpart Saad Al Kaabi, as well as Darren Woods and Vicki Hollub, CEOs of ExxonMobil and Occidental, respectively. You had to feel sorry for Kadri Simson, the Estonian politician and EU energy commissioner, as she pitched a decidedly different view from her co-panellists. But Børge Brende, the WEF president and the session’s moderator, did his best to even up the odds. It was a clash between those destined for either “hydrocarbon hell or green heaven” – in the unattributable sarcasm of one senior energy policymaker – and though the debate stayed within civilised bounds, it had its moments.

Al Kaabi accused the environmental lobby of “demonising oil and gas for decades”; Woods called for an end to the “propaganda and politics”. The panel became heated when it came to the issue of what was the real “elephant in the room”. Was it coal? Or the cost of energy transition? Or subsidies for fossil fuels? Prince Abdulaziz cut through the rhetoric with the announcement that he had detected the “camel in the room”: the fact that the campaign against climate change cannot be waged within national boundaries, but has to be global.

Towards the end of the day a frisson went through the forum as it was whispered that Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s prime minister and the patron of the event, was on his way. He duly arrived, oversaw a private meeting of forum dignitaries and departed, with much security fanfare.

At the end of Day 1, I was just a little underwhelmed. The clinical Swiss lines of the WEF signage did not quite gel with the Arabic splendour of the King Abdulaziz International Conference Centre. I’m sure it just needs time.

Frank Kane is Editor-at-Large of AGBI and an award-winning business journalist. He acts as a consultant to the Ministry of Energy of Saudi Arabia and is a media adviser to First Abu Dhabi Bank of the UAE