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ISLAMIC FINANCE & CAPITAL MARKETS

Big Call on Interest Rates at Jackson Hole will Echo Around the World

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By Frank Kane

The annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, is a snooty affair even by the standards of the financial “masters of the universe”. Attendance is “limited” to about 120 Federal Reserve officials, central bankers, financial professionals and academics. Journalists are “selected”, expected to pay (horror!) for the privilege of an invitation, and are not allowed to “overwhelm or influence the proceedings”.

The meeting is quirkily held under the auspices of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, whose officials were apparently keen on fly fishing in mountain lakes to accompany their financial deliberations when the event was first held there in 1982.

In a normal year in the Rocky Mountain resort where it is staged it is all “gas at high altitude, which tends to cause flatulence”, as a participant once described it to me. (I’ve never been lucky enough to be “selected”.)

But 2024 is not a normal year. It is a US presidential election year, and the economics and finances of America will be under the microscope as voters weigh up Donald Trump versus Kamala Harris in November. Just as significantly, this year’s symposium comes at a crucial time for US and global financial markets.

The star turn will be Jay Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, who on Friday is expected to give some forward guidance on federal funds interest rates, the key global indicator in financial markets. Expect what he says to impact markets and business around the world, and no more so than in the Arabian Gulf.

Those markets are in a volatile state. Just a couple of weeks ago, some poor employment figures from the US, coupled with a badly timed interest rate rise in Japan, sent equity indices into worldwide nosedive, with experts loudly proclaiming “crash” ahead. To highlight the volatility, last week markets clawed back all those losses as better economic data reassured investors that the US economy was not heading towards a recessionary hard landing.

But at the back of the minds of global investors is the hope that the Fed will come riding to their rescue with a substantial interest rate cut, down from the current range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent, the highest US rate in 23 years. The question now for Powell is not so much “When?” as “How much?”.

With US inflation below 3 percent at the last announcement, it seems as though high interest rates have done the job in controlling consumer price inflation, and the way is open for a more benign rate regime, beginning next month.

But how much more benign? In the days after the short-lived crash, a consensus grew that the cut would have to be at least 50 basis points, and that it might even require two such reductions before the end of the year.

Now, with markets back on growth trajectory, the consensus is not so sure that is necessary. The other issue is political. The Fed is supposed to be above politics but any action Powell takes now on interest rates, or even no action at all, will be seen against the background of an increasingly close and divisive presidential campaign.

No doubt Harris would welcome the “feelgood factor” a big interest rate cut by Powell would bring for her prospects. She is still struggling to earn voter trust on the question of managing the economy. Conversely Trump would hate it. He has already questioned the basis of the Fed’s independence. If Powell appears to be siding with the Democrats, it could spell big problems ahead in a Trump presidency.

These may appear to be the details of US domestic politicking, but they matter to the whole world. Global financial markets, including those in the Middle East, take their lead from the US. So far this year, despite wars and twin threats from protectionism and economic slowdown in China, they have managed to keep up a relentless pace of growth. The S&P 500 is only slightly below the all-time high it hit in July.

But there is no shortage of Cassandras pointing to bubble conditions in overvalued stocks, high levels of personal, corporate and government debt, and an all-round atmosphere of volatility and vulnerability. A misjudged call by Powell on Friday will have profound implications for all of us.

Frank Kane is Editor-at-Large of AGBI and an award-winning business journalist. He acts as a consultant to the Ministry of Energy of Saudi Arabia and is a media adviser to First Abu Dhabi Bank of the UAE. This article was first published in the AGBI.


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ISLAMIC FINANCE & CAPITAL MARKETS

What is a Halal Economy?

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A halal economy is an economic system based on Islamic principles, encompassing various sectors like food, finance, tourism, and fashion that adhere to halal (permissible) standards. It emphasizes ethical, transparent practices in line with Shariah law. Globally, the Halal economy is rapidly growing and is projected to exceed $2.3 trillion, driven by the increasing demand for halal products and services among Muslim and non-Muslim consumers.

What is a Halal Economy?

A halal economy is an economic system based on Islamic principles, encompassing various sectors like food, finance, tourism, and fashion that adhere to halal (permissible) standards. It emphasizes ethical, transparent practices in line with Shariah law. The halal economy is rapidly growing globally, driven by increasing demand for halal products and services among Muslim and non-Muslim consumers.

While food is the most commonly recognized aspect, the halal economy includes finance, tourism, fashion, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and entertainment. It’s an ecosystem that ensures ethical practices, transparency, and moral values, offering a holistic approach to commerce that appeals not just to Muslims but to many non-Muslims as well.

Key Sectors in the Halal Economy

Halal Food and Beverages

The most prominent sector of the halal economy is food and beverages. Halal food is prepared following Islamic dietary laws. It must be free from pork, alcohol, and other prohibited substances. The meat must be slaughtered humanely and with specific prayers. The global halal food market is rapidly expanding, offering opportunities for businesses and consumers who value high-quality, ethically sourced products.

Islamic Finance

Islamic finance is another cornerstone of the halal economy, distinguished by its adherence to Shariah law. Key principles include the prohibition of interest (riba), risk-sharing, and ensuring that financial activities are tied to real assets. Common Islamic finance products include Sukuk (Islamic bonds), Takaful (Islamic insurance), and Murabaha (cost-plus financing). Islamic banking has grown exponentially in recent years, providing an ethical alternative to conventional finance for millions worldwide.

Halal Travel and Tourism

The halal travel industry caters to the specific needs of Muslim travelers, offering services like halal food, prayer facilities, and family-friendly entertainment. Halal tourism is designed to respect Islamic values, allowing Muslims to explore the world comfortably while adhering to their religious beliefs. Countries like Malaysia, Turkey, and Indonesia have developed comprehensive halal travel sectors to attract this market.

Halal Cosmetics and Pharmaceuticals

Halal cosmetics and pharmaceuticals are rapidly growing sectors of the halal economy. Products in these categories are free from haram (prohibited) ingredients like alcohol and animal derivatives not slaughtered according to Islamic guidelines. Halal certification for beauty and health products is becoming increasingly important to ensure that Muslim consumers can maintain their lifestyles without compromising their beliefs.

Modest Fashion

Modest fashion, also known as halal fashion, is designed to align with Islamic guidelines for dressing modestly. This sector has gained global attention in recent years, with brands and designers creating stylish yet modest clothing. The rise of modest fashion showcases the demand for apparel that respects cultural and religious values while staying on-trend.

The Global Growth of the Halal Economy

The halal economy is not confined to Muslim-majority countries; it is a global phenomenon. The increasing demand for halal products and services is driven by the growing Muslim population, higher awareness of halal standards, and a desire for ethical and sustainable options.

According to the State of the Global Islamic Economy Report, the global halal economy is projected to exceed trillions of dollars. Muslim consumers are looking for products that align with their values, and non-Muslim consumers are also turning to halal products for their perceived benefits, such as ethical sourcing and high quality.

Benefits of a Halal Economy
Ethical Standards and Transparency

The halal economy emphasizes ethical production, consumption, and financial practices. From humane animal treatment in halal food to profit-sharing models in Islamic finance, transparency and moral responsibility are cornerstones of the halal economic system.

Economic Opportunities

The halal economy creates opportunities for entrepreneurs and businesses worldwide. The demand for halal products has led to increased exports, new job opportunities, and the rise of innovative halal startups. Countries like Malaysia and the United Arab Emirates have become global hubs for halal certification and trade.

Social Well-being and Community Support

Since the halal economy aligns with the moral and social principles of Islam, it supports community welfare, fair trade, and ethical consumerism. Islamic finance, for example, includes the concept of Zakat (charitable giving), ensuring wealth distribution and helping those in need.

Challenges and Opportunities

While the halal economy offers tremendous growth potential, it is not without challenges. These include:

  • Standardization and Certification: The lack of uniform global halal standards can lead to confusion and hinder market growth. Efforts are being made to develop universal certification processes.
  • Consumer Awareness: Educating consumers about halal products’ benefits is crucial for expanding the market beyond Muslim communities.
  • Market Accessibility: Expanding into non-Muslim markets requires addressing misconceptions and emphasizing the ethical and high-quality aspects of halal products.

However, these challenges also present opportunities. As awareness and demand increase, businesses can innovate to provide better products and services that cater to both Muslim and non-Muslim consumers alike.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q: Is halal only about food?
A: No, halal extends beyond food to include finance, tourism, fashion, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and more.

Q: Can non-Muslims participate in the halal economy?
A: Absolutely! The halal economy is open to everyone who values ethical practices and high-quality standards.

Q: How can a product be certified halal?
A: A product can be certified halal by meeting specific Islamic guidelines and obtaining certification from recognized halal authorities.

Q: What is the difference between halal and haram?
A: Halal means permissible or lawful, while haram means prohibited or unlawful according to Islamic teachings.

The halal economy represents a holistic approach to commerce that aligns with Islamic principles while offering ethical, high-quality options for all consumers. Its impact extends across food, finance, travel, cosmetics, and fashion, fostering a growing global market. With increasing demand and awareness, the halal economy holds significant opportunities for businesses and communities alike, offering a sustainable and value-driven path to growth.


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ISLAMIC FINANCE & CAPITAL MARKETS

How Islamic Finance and Digital Identity are Advancing in Kenya and Somalia

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By Aamer Yaqub

Africa’s financial and digital landscapes are experiencing a remarkable transformation, driven by the rapid adoption of digital banking and the development of innovative market solutions such as Sharia-compliant online services. This shift is particularly evident in Kenya and Somalia, where the integration of Islamic finance principles with modern digital platforms is revolutionizing financial inclusion and modernizing the banking sector.

Kenya’s Digital Identity and Sharia-Compliant Banking Revolution

Kenya is at the forefront of integrating digital identity systems with Sharia-compliant banking services, marking a significant milestone in the country’s financial evolution. The National Integrated Identity Management System (NIIMS), also known as the Huduma Namba, is a key initiative designed to provide every Kenyan citizen with a unique digital identity. This system aims to streamline access to various services, enhance transparency, and improve financial inclusion by making it easier for citizens to interact with government and financial services.

Craft Silicon, a prominent Kenyan fintech company, is playing a crucial role in this transformation. Craft Silicon’s digital banking platforms cater specifically to the needs of Kenya’s unbanked population, enabling users to perform a wide range of financial transactions via mobile phones. This includes making payments, accessing loans, and conducting everyday transactions. The company has also developed Sharia-compliant banking products, reflecting a growing emphasis on inclusivity and accessibility within Kenya’s financial sector.

By incorporating Sharia-compliant features into its digital banking solutions, Craft Silicon addresses the needs of a diverse customer base, including those who seek to adhere to Islamic financial principles. This approach not only broadens the appeal of digital banking but also supports Kenya’s efforts to integrate digital ID systems with financial services, aiming to improve overall financial inclusion and modernize the banking infrastructure.

Somalia’s Focus on Sharia-Compliant Banking Amidst Financial Rebuilding

Somalia’s financial sector is undergoing a significant transformation as the country works to rebuild its banking system following years of instability. Central to this transformation is a strong emphasis on Sharia-compliant banking, which caters to the needs of Somalia’s predominantly Muslim population. Salaam Bank, a leading financial institution in East Africa, has partnered with Paymentology to introduce a cutting-edge financial solution: a co-branded, tokenized tap-to-pay digital companion card, alongside a physical card for users of its Waafi mobile money app.

This innovative solution represents a significant advancement in Somalia’s efforts to enhance financial inclusion through Sharia-compliant products. The integration of mobile banking technology has been particularly impactful, enabling users to access banking services through their mobile devices. This is crucial in a country where traditional banking infrastructure is limited, and mobile technology offers a viable alternative for reaching underserved populations.

The introduction of Sharia-compliant financial products by Salaam Bank aligns with Somalia’s broader goal of rebuilding its financial system while adhering to Islamic principles. By offering Sharia-compliant solutions, Somalia is not only addressing the needs of its local population but also positioning itself as a progressive player in the region’s financial sector.

Global Impact of Sharia Compliance on Digital Finance

The influence of Sharia-compliant banking extends beyond regional innovations, with global technology companies recognizing the importance of aligning their solutions with Islamic finance principles. IOTA, a leading blockchain technology company, has recently achieved Sharia-compliant certification, underscoring its commitment to adhering to Islamic finance principles. This certification enhances IOTA’s credibility and appeal in Muslim-majority countries, reflecting a growing recognition of the need for Sharia compliance in the global financial technology landscape.

Dominik Schiener, co-founder and chair of the IOTA Foundation, highlights the significance of Sharia compliance for the IOTA Ecosystem DLT Foundation. “Shari’a compliance significantly benefits the IOTA Ecosystem DLT Foundation by enhancing its credibility and ethical standards, which are essential for promoting IOTA technology and the IOTA token within Muslim communities,” Schiener notes. This certification supports the Foundation’s efforts to foster blockchain projects in the Middle East and other regions, illustrating the broader impact of Sharia compliance on global technology and finance.

The Future of Sharia-Compliant Banking and Digital Identity

The advancements in Sharia-compliant banking and digital identity systems in Kenya and Somalia represent a pivotal moment in the evolution of financial services across Africa. Kenya’s integration of digital identity with Sharia-compliant banking reflects a strategic approach to enhancing financial services and accessibility. The National Integrated Identity Management System aims to simplify interactions with financial services and government agencies, while Craft Silicon’s innovative banking solutions demonstrate a commitment to inclusivity and modernization.

In Somalia, the focus on Sharia-compliant banking products highlights the country’s dedication to rebuilding its financial sector by Islamic principles. Salaam Bank’s introduction of a digital companion card and mobile banking services signifies a significant step toward improving financial access and inclusion in a region with limited traditional banking infrastructure.

Globally, the recognition of Sharia compliance by technology companies like IOTA underscores the growing importance of aligning financial and technological solutions with Islamic finance principles. As these trends continue to develop, they will play a crucial role in shaping the future of banking and financial services, offering new opportunities for individuals and businesses around the world. The convergence of digital innovation and Sharia compliance is paving the way for a more inclusive and modern financial landscape, creating pathways for growth and development in diverse markets.


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ISLAMIC FINANCE & CAPITAL MARKETS

Islamic Finance Key to Enhancing Indonesia’s Economic Productivity

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By Our Special Correspondent

Indonesia, the world’s largest Muslim-majority country, has been leveraging Islamic finance to drive its economic growth. With a significant portion of its population adhering to Islamic principles, the country is uniquely positioned to benefit from the integration of Shariah-compliant financial systems into its broader economic strategy. Rosy Wediawaty, the Director of Financial Services and BUMN at the Ministry of National Development Planning/Bappenas has been vocal in her support for this approach. She asserts that Islamic financial principles could significantly enhance Indonesia’s economic productivity.

In a keynote speech during the Sharia Economics and Finance International Seminar, Wediawaty outlined the vast potential that lies within the Sharia economy, saying, “The Sharia economy offers a new avenue for growth that holds substantial potential, which we need to harness collectively.” This sentiment echoes a broader governmental strategy that views Islamic finance as an essential component of Indonesia’s economic productivity.

The Rise of Indonesia’s Economic Productivity

Recent trends reveal promising growth within Indonesia’s Islamic finance sector. The country has witnessed a substantial increase in its halal exports, which grew by 9.05% in 2022 compared to the previous year. This increase comes amid relatively stable import levels, indicating that Indonesia is well-equipped to meet international demands for halal products.

This expansion of halal exports is part of a larger trend where the halal value chain’s contribution to Indonesia’s GDP has grown. Between 2017 and 2021, the halal sector’s share of GDP saw significant progress, reaching 25.44% by 2021. Although there was a minor setback in 2022, 2023 has already shown signs of recovery, with the sector accounting for nearly 23% of GDP. This indicates that the halal economy is becoming a key pillar of Indonesia’s economic structure.

Indonesia’s Leadership in Muslim-Friendly Tourism

Islamic finance’s impact in Indonesia extends beyond traditional financial services. It is also playing a vital role in positioning the country as a leader in Muslim-friendly tourism. Indonesia currently ranks first in the 2023 Global Muslim Travel Index (GMTI), a benchmark for countries that cater to the needs of Muslim travelers. Key factors that contribute to this ranking include ease of access to Muslim-friendly services, such as halal restaurants, airports with prayer facilities, and cultural sites designed to meet the needs of Muslim tourists.

Indonesia’s leadership in Muslim-friendly tourism is a significant achievement, as the global halal tourism market is expected to grow exponentially. The provision of amenities like prayer rooms, halal food options, and appropriate dress codes helps to attract Muslim travelers from around the world. This trend aligns with Indonesia’s broader economic strategy to tap into niche yet rapidly growing markets that align with Islamic values.

Challenges in Islamic Finance

Between 2017 and 2019, Indonesia’s Islamic finance sector experienced rapid growth, with an impressive 76.5% increase during that period. However, the sector faced a relative slowdown after 2019, which has led to calls for further strategic enhancements to sustain long-term growth. Despite the slowdown, Indonesia’s Islamic finance market still offers enormous potential, particularly with the strategic deployment of zakat (charitable donations), waqf (endowments), and profits from Shariah-compliant businesses.

The collection of Islamic social funds, such as zakat, has proven to be a valuable resource. It is estimated that the zakat collection could reach up to IDR 327 trillion annually, providing a significant financial base for development projects. These funds, if managed properly, could drive social welfare initiatives and reduce poverty, all while adhering to Islamic financial principles.

However, one of the key challenges facing Indonesia’s Islamic finance sector is raising awareness and education among the general public. Many Indonesians are not fully aware of how Islamic finance works or how they can benefit from it. This has led to lower adoption rates compared to conventional financial systems. Another challenge is the need for infrastructure to support the full integration of Islamic finance into Indonesia’s existing financial ecosystem. Financial literacy campaigns and public awareness programs are essential to addressing these gaps.

Indonesia’s National Development Plan

Looking to the future, Indonesia’s National Long-Term Development Plan (RPJPN) for 2025-2045 outlines ambitious goals for integrating Islamic finance into the national economy. The RPJPN envisions Islamic finance playing a crucial role in driving ethical and sustainable economic growth over the next two decades. The plan focuses on aligning Islamic financial principles with global trends such as sustainable financing and ethical investment practices.

Part of this strategy involves leveraging Islamic finance to address global issues like climate change, inequality, and poverty. Indonesia aims to position itself as a leader in ethical financing by offering Islamic financial products that cater to socially responsible investments (SRI) and green financing. This move could attract global investors who are looking to invest in ethical projects while complying with Shariah principles.

Islamic Finance in Indonesia’s Economic Productivity

One of the most promising areas for Islamic finance in Indonesia is infrastructure development. Indonesia’s infrastructure needs are immense, and the government has increasingly looked to Islamic finance as a solution for funding large-scale infrastructure projects. Sukuk, or Islamic bonds, have already been used to fund numerous public projects, including transportation networks, water supply systems, and energy infrastructure.

The use of Sukuk allows the government to raise capital for development projects while adhering to Islamic financial principles, which prohibit interest-based transactions. Sukuk holders essentially own a share in the project, and profits are distributed based on the project’s actual performance rather than through interest payments. This not only ensures compliance with Islamic law but also creates a more equitable and risk-sharing financial model.

Islamic Finance’s Role in Empowering SMEs

Another significant area where Islamic finance can make a difference is in empowering small and medium enterprises (SMEs). SMEs form the backbone of Indonesia’s economy, and Islamic financial products, such as profit-sharing contracts (mudarabah) and partnership contracts (musharakah), offer an alternative to conventional loans, which are often prohibitive for smaller businesses due to high interest rates.

These Shariah-compliant contracts enable businesses to access the capital they need while sharing risks and profits with their financial partners. This approach aligns with the Islamic principle of fairness and mutual benefit, creating opportunities for SMEs to thrive without resorting to interest-based loans. As a result, the promotion of Islamic financial products for SMEs could help foster entrepreneurship and drive economic growth in local communities.

The Future of Islamic Finance in Indonesia

Indonesia’s strategic focus on Islamic finance represents a key pillar of its economic development plan. From halal exports and Muslim-friendly tourism to infrastructure development and SME empowerment, Islamic finance is playing an increasingly prominent role in the nation’s growth story. As Indonesia looks ahead to its RPJPN 2025-2045, the integration of Shariah-compliant financial systems is set to become even more critical in driving sustainable and ethical economic development.

By fostering a financial ecosystem that aligns with both Islamic principles and global trends, Indonesia is well-positioned to become a global leader in Islamic finance. Through policy reforms, public education, and the promotion of ethical investments, the country can fully realize the potential of Islamic finance as a tool for inclusive and sustainable growth. The future of Indonesia’s economy lies in harnessing the power of Islamic finance to build a prosperous, equitable, and ethical society.


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