Sixty-five years ago, on October 1, 1960, Nigeria emerged from colonial rule amid great hopes. The world saw a promising union of hundreds of ethnicities, rich in human and natural resources, poised for greatness. But as the drums of independence sound once again, one cannot help but ask the question that burns beneath the surface of every celebration: what exactly are Nigerians celebrating?
Independence was meant to free Nigerians from oppression, but six and a half decades later, it seems the chains have merely changed hands. The average Nigerian today faces a harsher reality than at almost any point in the past three decades. Poverty, inflation, unemployment, insecurity, and corruption have combined into a suffocating grip. The green and white flag still flies, but beneath it lies a nation in distress.
A recent World Bank report reveals that 75.5 percent of Nigeria’s rural population now lives below the poverty line. Nationally, more than 54 percent of citizens—around 129 million people—struggle daily with the pain of poverty. This is not just an abstract statistic; it is the face of the market woman whose income dies under the weight of rising prices, the farmer who cannot afford fertilizer, the civil servant whose salary cannot last ten days. Inflation, which hit 34.8 percent in December 2024, is devouring incomes faster than any wage increase can compensate for. Food inflation stands at almost 40 percent, meaning that millions can no longer afford even basic meals.
Even after the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index in early 2025, inflation remained at 24.48 percent — a figure that, though technically lower, still captures the daily misery of households crushed by high prices. The result is an economy that grows on paper but shrinks in human dignity. The gap between the rich and the poor is widening, and the rural-urban divide has become a chasm: while over 75 percent of rural dwellers live in poverty, about 41 percent of urban residents do as well. For millions, electricity, clean water, and sanitation remain elusive.
The human cost of this national failure is visible not only in poverty but in death. Nigeria’s insecurity crisis is a bleeding wound. According to the National Bureau of Statistics’ 2024 Crime and Security Perception Survey, over 614,000 people were killed between May 2023 and April 2024 as a result of violent insecurity. The North-West alone accounted for over 206,000 deaths, largely from banditry, while the North-East lost nearly 189,000 to insurgency and terrorism. These are not mere numbers—they are fathers, mothers, children, and friends, silenced by a system that cannot protect them. In the first half of 2025 alone, more than 2,200 Nigerians were killed by gunmen and insurgents. Amnesty International reports that over 10,000 people have died in the past two years across just six northern states — Benue, Edo, Katsina, Kebbi, Plateau, Sokoto, and Zamfara — victims of unrelenting attacks by bandits and armed groups.
Each death is a failure of governance; each displaced family is a testimony to a government that has lost control of its primary responsibility — the safety of its people. Entire communities have fled their ancestral lands. Schools in many northern and central regions are ghostly ruins. Farmers cannot plant, traders cannot travel, and children cannot learn. What, then, is independence without safety? What is freedom when life itself is a daily gamble?
The political system, meant to reflect the will of the people, has become a theatre of deceit. Democracy, once celebrated as Nigeria’s path to stability, has become fragile and deeply flawed. Elections often bear the scent of manipulation and vote buying, leaving the electorate disillusioned. The ballot box, meant to reflect the will of the people, has become a hollow ritual — an exercise more of endurance than empowerment. Political elites recycle themselves in endless circles of privilege, while corruption continues to feed on the nation’s commonwealth. Hospitals are underfunded, universities are under strike, and roads crumble year after year as budgets vanish into private pockets. The average Nigerian has stopped expecting government to deliver; survival has become a personal project.
And yet, amid this despair, there remain flickers of light. Some economic reforms — including fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate unification — are painful but potentially corrective if properly managed. Nigeria’s GDP grew by 4.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024, its strongest in a decade. Civil society remains defiant; journalists, activists, and youth groups continue to demand accountability. Nigerians in the diaspora excel in technology, medicine, sports, and the arts, carrying with them the brilliance that the homeland too often stifles. The resilience of ordinary Nigerians remains the only genuine asset that this nation can boast of — a stubborn, unyielding faith in tomorrow.
Still, the time for empty celebration must end. A nation that cannot feed its citizens, secure their lives, or ensure justice for the weak cannot claim progress. Independence is not about the lowering of a foreign flag; it is about the lifting of a people. We must stop mistaking ceremony for substance. Real freedom will come only when Nigeria confronts its demons — corruption, impunity, inequality, and deceit — with courage and sincerity.
So on this 65th anniversary, let us put aside the empty fanfare. Let us, instead, look in the mirror and tell ourselves the truth. We are not yet free. We have only changed our masters — from colonial to internal. But truth has its power, and nations that dare to face it can still be reborn. The hope lies not in our leaders, but in the ordinary Nigerians who continue to rise, work, build, and dream despite the odds. Until justice, integrity, and compassion define our public life, independence will remain a flag without meaning — a promise unfulfilled.